The effects of demand planning on the negative consequences of operational risk in supply chains

Świerczek, Artur

doi:10.17270/J.LOG.2019.340

Artykuł - szczegóły

Tytuł artykułu

The effects of demand planning on the negative consequences of operational risk in supply chains

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Świerczek Artur

Treść / Zawartość

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DOI

10.17270/J.LOG.2019.340

Warianty tytułu

Wpływ planowania popytu na negatywne skutki ryzyka operacyjnego w łańcuchach dostaw

Języki publikacji

Abstrakty

Background: Although extant studies have highlighted the importance of specific demand planning practices in risk mitigation, there is a scarcity of research that shows the simultaneous effects of demand planning practices on the disruptions induced by operational risks in supply chains. In order to reduce this gap, this paper aims to explore the impact of the demand planning process on operational risk, and thereby reveal if operational risk factors and their negative consequences may be mitigated through the application of specific demand planning practices in supply chains. Methods: The study involves two stages of multivariate statistical analysis. In stage one, independent and dependent variables are reduced through factor analysis in order to highlight the main, underlying, multi-item factors. In the second stage of the study, a multiple regression analysis is conducted to compare the general contribution to variance in operational risk accounted for by demand planning practices and their combinations. The conducted analysis provided regression models for particular operational risks. Results: The study reveals that all activities in the demand planning process contribute more or less to lower operational risk in the examined supply chains. In particular, there are strong relationships between demand planning practices and both control and demand risks. On the other hand, the lesser effects of demand planning may be observed in process and supply risks. Conclusions: The study shows that different managerial instruments, which are not inherently dedicated to risk management, when appropriately applied, may have an indirect impact on the mitigation of supply chain risk. In particular, the concept of demand planning might be very helpful for managers when dealing with demand and control risks.

Wstęp: Mimo faktu, że w literaturze przedmiotu podejmowano problem dotyczący roli określonych czynności planowania w łagodzeniu ryzyka i jego skutków, niemniej wciąż brakuje badań podejmujących problematykę jednoczesnego wpływu czynności w planowaniu popytu na zakłócenia wywołane przez czynniki ryzyka operacyjnego w łańcuchach dostaw. W związku z tym celem artykułu jest identyfikacja wpływu procesu planowania popytu na zakłócenia wywołane przez ryzyko operacyjne. Innymi słowy, celem niniejszej pracy jest rozpoznanie czy operacyjne czynniki ryzyka i ich negatywne konsekwencje mogą zostać ograniczone za pomocą aplikacji czynności w procesie planowania popytu w łańcuchach dostaw. Metody: W artykule przeprowadzono dwa etapy wielowymiarowej analizy statystycznej. W pierwszym etapie zmienne zostały zredukowane za pomocą analizy czynnikowej w celu identyfikacji podstawowych konstruktów. W drugim etapie badania, przeprowadzono analizę regresji wielorakiej po to, aby porównać wpływ poszczególnych czynności w planowaniu popytu na konsekwencje ryzyka operacyjnego. Wyniki: W rezultacie przeprowadzonego badania stwierdzono, że czynności planowania popytu w mniejszym lub większym stopniu przyczyniają się do ograniczenia ryzyka operacyjnego w łańcuchach dostaw. W szczególności, istnieją silne relacje między planowaniem popytu i konsekwencjami ryzyka decyzyjnego oraz ryzyka popytowego. Z drugiej strony, mniejszy wpływ planowania popytu można obserwować w przypadku ryzyka związanego z fizycznym przepływem produktów oraz ryzyka w sferze dostaw. Wnioski: Badanie pokazuje, że metody zarządzania, niekoniecznie dedykowane dla potrzeb ograniczania ryzyka, mogą istotnie przyczyniać się do zmniejszenia jego konsekwencji w łańcuchach dostaw. W szczególności koncepcja planowania popytu może zostać wykorzystana przez menedżerów w przypadku ograniczania konsekwencji ryzyka decyzyjnego i ryzyka popytowego.

Słowa kluczowe

planning process demand risk supply chain

proces planowania popyt ryzyko łańcuch dostaw

Wydawca

Wyższa Szkoła Logistyki

Czasopismo

LogForum

Rocznik

2019

Tom

Vol. 15, no. 3

Strony

315--329

Opis fizyczny

Bibliogr. 43 poz., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Świerczek Artur

artur.swierczek@uekat.pl

University of Economics in Katowice, Department of Business Logistics, ul. 1 Maja 50, 40-287 Katowice, Poland

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Uwagi

Opracowanie rekordu w ramach umowy 509/P-DUN/2018 ze środków MNiSW przeznaczonych na działalność upowszechniającą naukę (2019).

Typ dokumentu

Bibliografia

Identyfikator YADDA

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