Elaboration of occupational risks evaluation models considering the dynamics of impact of harmful factors

• Autorzy: Bochkovskyi A. P.

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.5604/01.3001.0014.6777

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Purpose: Elaborate and substantiate stochastic models of occupational risk evaluation for application in the occupation health and safety. Design/methodology/approach: Analysis of scientific and technical literature and regulatory framework for risk evaluation in the occupation health and safety; methods of probability theory, theory of Markov processes; methods of restoration theory. Findings: A system of differential equations and limit conditions for finding the limit distribution of probabilities of a random process of occupational dangers is derived. Based on the results of solving the limit value task, expressions to determine a number of key indicators by which the level of occupational risk can be evaluated are obtained. Research limitations/implications: The proposed approach aims to evaluation the risk associated with the impact on the employee of harmful factors, but can also be used to evaluate the injury risk. But in this case the received limit value task will be much more difficult. Practical implications: The application of the proposed approach allows to increase the level of occupational safety by taking into account the stochastic characteristics of the negative factors impact on the employee during occupational risks evaluating, as well as the possibility of setting such values of controllable parameters that will allow with a certain probability to ensure not to exceed the level of impact accumulation in the employee of the consequences of these factors. Originality/value: Stochastic models of occupational risk evaluation based on the application of Markov drift processes for the modeling the hybrid nature of the negative factors impact on the employee, which occurs within the real systems "man - technical system - production environment" were elaborated and substantiated for the first time.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

safety management; health management; Markov drift processes; stochastic models; risk evaluation; occupational risk

PL

zarządzanie bezpieczeństwem; zarządzanie zdrowiem; modele stochastyczne; ocena ryzyka; ryzyko zawodowe

• Wydawca: International OCSCO World Press
• Czasopismo: Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering
• Rocznik: 2020
• Tom: Vol. 102, nr 2
• Strony: 76--85
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 28 poz., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Bochkovskyi A. P.

• Department of Systems Management Life Safety, Odessa National Polytechnic University, Shevchenko ave., 1, Odessa, 65044, Ukraine

Bibliografia

• [1] A.P. Bochkovskyi, N.Yu. Sapozhnikova, V.D. Gogunskii, Legal and organizational issues of improving the labor protection and industrial safety level at Ukrainian enterprises, Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu 5/161 (2017) 100-108. Available from: http://www.nvngu.in.ua/index.php/ru/component/jdownloads/viewdownload/70/8714
• [2] O. Nanka, M. Lysychenko, M. Kiriyenko, V. Pavlykivskyi, T. Duyunova, I. Senchuk, Relationship study between the student learning approach in the occupational safety and health field and acquired competencies, Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering 95/1 (2019) 32-41. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0013.7623
• [3] A.P. Bochkovskyi, Upravlinnia ryzykamy vynyknennia profesiinykh nebezpek u skladnykh systemakh, Legal Literature, Odessa, 2019 (in Ukrainian).
• [4] A. Kania, K. Cesarz-Andraczke, K. Więcek, R. Babilas, Analysis of accidents in the context of work safety culture, Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering 94/1-2 (2019) 41-48. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5604/01.3001.0013.5120
• [5] V.D. Gogunsky, Yu.S. Chernega, Upravlinnia ryzykamy v proektakh z okhorony pratsi k metod usunennia shkidlyvykh i nebezpechnykh umov pratsi, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 1/10(61) (2013) 83 85 (in Ukrainian). Avaialble from: http://journals.uran.ua/eejet/article/view/6783/5983
• [6] M. Nepveu, F. Yavuz, P. David, FEP Analysis and Markov Chains, Energy Procedia 1/1 (2009) 2519-2523. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2009.02.015
• [7] Yu.S. Cherneha, V.D. Hohunskyi, Rozrobka modeli diialnosti inzhenera z okhorono pratsi z vykorystanniam lantsiuhiv Markova, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 5/3(71) (2014) 39-43 (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2014.28016
• [8] M. Postan, L. Kushnir, A method of determination of port terminal capacity under irregular cargo delivery and pickup, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 4/3(82) (2016) 30-37. DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2016.76285
• [9] Yu. Kruk, M. Postan, Razrabotka i analiz dinamicheskoy modeli optimizatsii vzaimodeystviya transportnyih potokov na portovom terminale, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies, 1/3(79) (2016) 19-23 (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2016.61154
• [10] G. Li, D. Hu, L. Su, The model of location for single allocation multimodal hub under capacity constraints, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences 96 (2013) 351-359. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sbspro.2013.08.042
• [11] M.Ya. Postan, Economic-mathematical models of multimodal transport, Astroprint, Odessa, 2006.
• [12] M. Postan, G. Stolyarov, Issledovanie istochnikov effektivnosti transportno-logisticheskih klasterov i putey ih realizatsii, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 3/3(75) (2015) 43-50 (in Russian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.43045
• [13] V. Golinko, S. Cheberyachko, O. Deryugin, O. Tretyak, O. Dusmatova, Assessment of the risks of occupational diseases of the passenger bus drivers, Safety and Health at Work 11/4 (2020) 543-549. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.shaw.2020.07.005
• [14] F.C. Simeone, M. Blosi, S. Ortelli, A.L. Costa, Assessing occupational risk in designs of production processes of nanomaterials, NanoImpact 14 (2019) 1-9. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.impact.2019.100149
• [15] M.V. Kosteriev, V.V. Litvinov, Rozroblennia analitychnoho metodu otsiniuvannia ryzyku vynyknennia avariinoi sytuatsii v enerhosystemi, Eastern-European Journal of Enterprise Technologies 4/2(76) (2015) 44-50 (in Ukrainian). DOI: https://doi.org/10.15587/1729-4061.2015.47290
• [16] P.G. Belov, Sistemny analiz i modelirovanie opasnykh protsessov v tekhnosfere, ACADEMA, Moscow, 2003 (in Russian).
• [17] V.F. Stoetskiy, V.I. Golinko, L.V. Dranishnikov, Otsenka riska pri avariyah tehnogennogo haraktera, Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu 3 (2014) 117-124 (in Russian). Available from: http://nbuv.gov.ua/UJRN/Nvngu_2014_3_20
• [18] Y. Kasap, E. Subaş, Risk assessment of occupational groups working in open pit mining: Analytic Hierarchy Process, Journal of Sustainable Mining 16/2 (2017) 38-46. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsm.2017.07.001
• [19] O. Kruzhilko, V. Maystrenko, V. Kalinchyk, Y. Polukarov, L. Mitiuk, N. Bilotserkivska, L. Borysova, T. Kachur, Development of the effective information and analytical support of the OSH management system, Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering 99/2 (2020) 72-84. DOI: https://doi/org/10.5604/01.3001.0014.1777
• [20] O. Kruzhilko, V. Maystrenko, Management decision-making algorithm development for planning activities that reduce the production risk level, Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering 93/1-2 (2019) 41-49. DOI: https://doi/org/10.5604/01.3001.0013.4141
• [21] A. Kania, K. Cesarz-Andraczke, J. Odrobiński, Application of FMEA method for an analysis of selected production process, Journal of Achievements in Materials and Manufacturing Engineering 91/1 (2018) 34-40. DOI: https://doi/org/10.5604/01.3001.0012.9655
• [22] T. Aven, Risk assessment and risk management: Review of recent advances on their foundation, European Journal of Operational Research 253/1 (2016) 1-13. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2015.12.023
• [23] O.E. Kruzhilko, Ya.B. Watchman, Z.I. Lutak, N.A. Prachnikov, Metodicheskie printsipyi otsenki proizvodstvennyih riskov pri planirovanii preventivnyih meropriyatiy, Problems of Labor Safety in Ukraine: Collection of Scientific Works 33 (2017) 15-21 (in Russian).
• [24] A.P. Bochkovskyi, N.Yu. Sapozhnikova, Minimization of the “human factor” influence in Occupational Health and Safety, Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu 6 (2019) 95-106. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29202/nvngu/2019-6/14
• [25] A.P. Bochkovskyi, Actualization of the scientific principles elaboration on evaluating the risks of occupational danger occurrence, Naukovyi Visnyk Natsionalnoho Hirnychoho Universytetu 6 (2018) 95-103. DOI: https://doi/org/10.29202/nvngu/2018/14
• [26] L. Koralov, Y.G. Sinai, Theory of Probability and Random Processes, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg, 2007.
• [27] I.I. Gihman, A.V. Skorohod, Teoriya sluchaynyih protsessov, Vol. 2. Nauka, Moskva, 1973 (in Russian).
• [28] V.I. Tihonov, M.A. Mironov, Markovskie protsessyi, Sovetskoe radio, Moskva, 1977 (in Russian).

Uwagi

PL

Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MNiSW, umowa Nr 461252 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2020).