Oceanic control of the warming processes in the Arctic - a different point of view for the reasons of changes in the Arctic climate

• Autorzy: Marsz A. A. , Styszyńska A.

Warianty tytułu

PL

Kontrola oceaniczna procesów ocieplenia Arktyki - odmienny punkt spojrzenia na przyczyny zmian klimatu w Arktyce

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The paper describes the strong correlation between the sea surface temperature (SST) in the region of the Gulf Stream delta and anomalies in surface air temperature (SAT) in the Arctic over the period 1880-2007. This correlation results from the transfer of a variable amount of heat from the Atlantic tropics into the Arctic through oceanic circulation (AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation). Reaction of sea ice is the main mechanism controlling the heat content in water carried to the Arctic and influencing the SAT. Sea ice may either increase or limit the heat flow from the ocean to the atmosphere. The genesis of the ‘Great warming of the Arctic’ in the 1930s and ‘40s is the same as that of the present day. Both may be considered to be attributable to natural processes and are not demonstrably associated in any way with a supposed ‘Global greenhouse effect’. Changes in the concentration of CO2 in the atmosphere could only explain 9% of variations in the SAT in the Arctic.

PL

Praca wykazuje istnienie silnych związków między temperaturą powierzchni morza (SST) w rejonie delty Golfsztromu a przebiegiem anomalii temperatury powietrza w Arktyce (1880-2007). Związki te wynikają z transportu przez cyrkulację oceaniczną (AMO – Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) zmiennych ilości ciepła z rejonu atlantyckich tropików do Arktyki. Głównym mechanizmem regulującym wpływ zasobów ciepła w wodach wnoszonych do Arktyki na temperaturę powietrza jest reakcja lodów morskich, zwiększająca lub ograniczająca strumienie ciepła z oceanu do atmosfery. Geneza wielkiego ocieplenia Arktyki w latach 30-40. XX wieku i współczesnego ocieplenia Arktyki jest taka sama. Oba epizody ocieplenia Arktyki stanowią rezultat działania procesów naturalnych i nie są związane z dzia-łaniem efektu cieplarnianego. Zmiany koncentracji CO2 w atmosferze objaśniają około 9% wariancji SAT w Arktyce.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

Arctic; Gulf Stream delta; warming; air temperature; SST; natural factors

PL

Arktyka; delta Golfsztromu; ocieplenie; temperatura powietrza; temperatura powierzchni wody; czynniki naturalne

• Wydawca: Stowarzyszenie Klimatologów Polskich
• Czasopismo: Problemy Klimatologii Polarnej
• Rocznik: 2009
• Tom: nr 19
• Strony: 7--31
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 76 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Marsz A. A.

autor

Styszyńska A.

• Department of Meteorology and Nautical Oceanography, Gdynia Maritime University Sędzickiego 19, 81–374 Gdynia,

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