Experts' opinions in forecasting for enterprises

• Autorzy: Dittmann P. , Paradowska K.

Warianty tytułu

PL

Opinie ekspertów w prognozowaniu w przedsiębiorstwie

• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The article discusses a possibility to build forecasts in an enterprises on the basis of experts' opinions. Capacities of a point forecast and a forecast interval are presented. The way a forecast interval may be built is suggested in case when a point forecast is set as the most probable (modal) value. The article also demonstrates possibilities of assessing chances that sales in an enterprise will be lower or higher that the one determined by a specific value or that the sales will be included in a definite interval.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

forecasting; enterprises

PL

prognozowanie; przedsiębiorstwo

• Wydawca: University of Zielona Góra, Faculty of Economics and Management
• Czasopismo: Management
• Rocznik: 2008
• Tom: Vol. 12, no 1
• Strony: 96--106
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 7 poz., rys., tab.

Twórcy

autor

Dittmann P.

autor

Paradowska K.

• Uniwersytet Ekonomiczny we Wrocławiu

Bibliografia

• 1. Abraham B., Ledolter J. (2005). Statistical Methods for Forecasting. J. Wiley & Sons. New Jersey.
• 2. Clements M.P., Hendry D.F. (2002). A Companion to Economic Forecasting. Blackwell Publishers. Oxford.
• 3. Dittmann P. (2008). Prognozowanie w przedsiębiorstwie. Metody i zastosowanie. Wolters Kluwer Polska. Kraków.
• 4. Dittmann P., Poradowska K. (2007). Expert Forecasting in Company Management. Information Technologies in Economics and Innovative Management. AGH University of Science and Technology Press. Krakow. pp. 146-150.
• 5. Dittmann P. (2006). Subjective Probability in Forecasting for Enterprises. "Management" Vol. 10 - No 2. pp. 89-96 (University of Zielona Góra. Poland)
• 6. Montgomery D.C, Johnson L.A., Gardiner J.S. (1990). Forecasting and Time Series Analysis. McGraw-Hill. New York.
• 7. Pardoe L. (2006). Applied Regression Modelling. J, Wiley & Sons, New Jersey.