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Modelowanie rozprzestrzeniania pożaru w osadach wiejskich przylegających do lasu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
New approach of forecasting and spreading of fires in rural settlements with using of percolation models and the neural networks has considered in the thesis. It also gives recommendations for planning of fire prevention, firefighting strategy. The percolation model represents the spreading of the process through the grid where there is at least one continuous way through adjacent nodes from the one side to the opposite one. The neural network describes the process of fire extension on difficult sites taking into account the weather conditions.
W pracy przedstawiono nowe podejście do prognozowania i rozprzestrzeniania się pożarów w osadach wiejskich z wykorzystaniem modeli perkolacji oraz sieci neuronowych. Podano również zalecenia dla planowania zabezpieczenia przeciwpożarowego, strategii gaśniczej. Model perkolacji reprezentuje rozprzestrzenianie się procesu za pośrednictwem sieci, gdzie jest co najmniej jedna ciągła droga przez sąsiednie węzły z jednej strony na drugą. Sieć neuronowa opisuje proces rozszerzenia pożaru na trudnych terenach z uwzględnieniem warunków pogodowych.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
85--96
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 18 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service
autor
- Saint-Petersburg University of State Fire Service
Bibliografia
- [1] Volf. M. Fire tactics. Rule of fire suppresion in questions and answers. SPb: Type. T-va., 1907.
- [2] Povzik J.S. Fire tactics: the textbook. M: HEFTS the Ministry of Internal Affairs of the USSR, 1984.
- [3] Terebnev V.V. Century of Century Fire tactics. Concept about fire extinguishing. Yekaterinburg: Publishing house «Kalan», 2010.
- [4] Artamonov V.S. Fire tactics: the manual. SPb: St.-Petersburg University of State Fire Service of EMERCOM of Russia, 2011.
- [5] Methodical recommendations about actions of divisions of a federal fire service at suppression of fires and carrying out of a wrecking: Letter Central Regional Center of EMERCOM of Russia from 22.06.10 No. 5427-5-1-2*.М, 2011.112 pages.
- [6] Firefighting Rules 01-03. Fire prevention rules in the Russian Federation: The order of EMERCOM of Russia from 6/18/2003 No. 313; reg. In Ministry of Justice of the Russian Federation of 6/27/2003, reg. No. 4838//the Russian newspaper. 2003. No. 129.
- [7] Recommendations about the firefighting organization in countryside: 12/26/2000 the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia: 12/26/2000. М: Federal State Establishment „VNIIPO” the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia, 2001.
- [8] The joint venture 53. 13330.2011. A lay-out and building of territory of gardening (country) associations of citizens, buildings and constructions: approved. The order of Ministry of Regional Development of the Russian Federation from 30.12.11 No. 849; 20.05.11. М: Open Society «CPP», 2011.
- [9] Technical regulations about requirements of fire safety: Federal law from 7/22/2008 No. 123-FL.
- [10] The joint venture 11.13130.2009. Places of a disposition of divisions of fire protection. An order and a definition technique: approved by the order of the MERCOM of Russia from 3/25/2009 No. 181; 5/1/2009. М: Federal State Establishment „VNIIPO” EMERCOM of Russia, 2009.
- [11] An order of attraction of forces and means of divisions of fire protection, garrisons of fire protection for suppression of fires and carrying out of a wrecking: The order of EMERCOM of Russia from 5/5/2008. No. 240.
- [12] Brushlinskiy N.N., Sokolov С.В. About rationing of an arrival time of fire divisions to a fire place//Fire and explosion safety. 2011. Т. 20. No. 9. P. 42–48.
- [13] Koshmarov J.A. Forecasting's nightmares of dangerous factors indoors: the manual. М: Academy of State Fire Service of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Russia, 2000.
- [14] Ramachandran G. Non-Deterministic Modeling of Fire Spread//Journal of Fire Protection Engineering. 3 (2). 1991. Р. 37–48.
- [15] Abdulaliev F.A. Description of fire development by percolation models: Proceedings international scientific conference: Safety engineering (Fire, Environment, Work environment, Integrated risk). Novi Sad, Republic Serbia, 2010. P. 563–567.
- [16] Efros А.L. Physics and disorder geometry. M: publ. «Nauka», 1982. 265 p.
- [17] Kemeny J., Snell of J. Final chains of Markova. Translated from English. М: publ. A science, 1970. 272 p.
- [18] Kallan R. The River the Basic concepts of neural networks. Translated from English. М.: publ. «Williams», 2001. 290 p.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
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