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Groundings and ship collisions are the two most frequent accident types in the Gulf of Finland, which in the past decades has seen an increase in tanker traffic. This has mainly been oil transport from Russia. Both accident types pose a major hazard to the marine ecosystem, as spills of catastrophic magnitude can occur as a consequence. In order to better plan for the response to and/or prevention of accidents, the frequency and size of spills should be known. This paper estimates the expected number of tanker groundings of different tanker types for the busiest tanker ports in the Finnish part of the Gulf of Finland. Furthermore, in this paper statistics of the sizes of chemical, gas and oil tankers visiting Finnish ports is presented. Finally, the expected number and size of spills is estimated based on the expected number of groundings and the tanker sizes using a spill model based on tanker deadweight (DWT).
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
108--114
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 24 poz., rys., tab.
Twórcy
autor
- Department of Applied Mechanics, Aalto University School of Engineering 1A Tietotie, 02150 Espoo, Finland
- Kotka Maritime Research Association (Merikotka), 7 Heikinkatu, 48100 Kotka, Finland
autor
- Department of Applied Mechanics, Aalto University School of Engineering 1A Tietotie, 02150 Espoo, Finland
- Kotka Maritime Research Association (Merikotka), 7 Heikinkatu, 48100 Kotka, Finland
autor
- Finnish Environment Institute (SYKE) 34A Mechelininkatu, Helsinki, Finland
autor
- University of Turku, FI-20014 TURUN YLIOPISTO, Finland
- Kotka Maritime Research Association (Merikotka), 7 Heikinkatu, 48100 Kotka, Finland
Bibliografia
- 1. ALSOS, H. & AMDAHL, J. (2007) On the resistance of tanker bottom structures during stranding. Marine Structures. 20. pp. 218–237.
- 2. CERUP-SIMONSEN, B., TÖRNQVIST, R. & LÜTZEN, M. (2009) A simplified grounding damage prediction method and its application in modern damage stability requirements. Marine Structures. 22(1). pp. 62–83.
- 3. FTA (2012) Finnish Transportation Agency. Ulkomaan meriliikennetilasto 2011.
- 4. GOERLANDT, F., STÅHLBERG, K. & KUJALA, P. (2012) Influence of impact scenario models on collision risk analysis. Ocean engineering. 47. pp. 74–87.
- 5. GOERLANDT, F. & KUJALA, P. (2011) Traffic Based Ship Collision Probability and Modeling. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 96 (1). pp. 91–107.
- 6. HÄNNINEN, M. & KUJALA, P. (2012) Influences of Variables on Ship Collision Probability in a Bayesian Belief Network Model. Reliability Engineering & System Safety. 102. pp. 27–40.
- 7. HASSEL, M., ASBJØRNSLETT, B. & HOLE, L. (2011) Underreporting of maritime accidents to vessel accident databases. Accident Analysis & Prevention. 43 (6). pp. 2053– 2063.
- 8. HEINVEE, M., TABRI, K. & KÕRGESAAR, M. (2013) A simplified approach to predict the bottom damage in tanker grounding. in: Proceedings of the 6th International Conference on Collision and Grounding of Ship and Offshore Structures. Trondheim 17–19. June 2013. Available online from: http://www.ntnu.no/iccgs [Accessed: 23 January 2014]
- 9. IMO (1995) International Maritime Organization. Interim guidelines for approval of alternative methods of design and construction of oil tankers under regulation 13F(5) of Annex I of MARPOL 73/78. Technical Report, Resolution MEPC, 66(37), 1995.
- 10. KITAMURA, O. (2002) FEM approach to the simulation of collision and grounding damage. Marine Structures. 15. pp. 403–428.
- 11. KRATA, P., JACHOWSKI, J. & MONTWEKA, J. (2012) Modeling of Accidental Bunker Oil Spills as a Result of Ship’s Bunker Tanks Rupture – a Case Study. International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation. 6 (4). pp.495–500.
- 12. KUJALA, P., HÄNNINEN, M., AROLA, T. & YLITALO, J. (2009) Analysis of the Marine Traffic Safety in the Gulf of Finland. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 9. pp. 1349–1357.
- 13. TRB (2001) Marine Board and Transport Research Board. Environmental Performance of Tanker Designs in Collision and Grounding: Method for Comparision – Special Report 259. Washington D.C.: National Academy Press.
- 14. MAZAHERI, A., SORMUNEN, O-V., HYTTINEN, N., MONTEWKA, J. & KUJALA, P. (2013) Comparison of the learning algorithms for evidence-based BBN modeling – A case study on ship grounding accidents. in: Proceedings of the ESREL 2013 Conference. 29 September – 2 October 2013, Asterdam, the Netherlands.
- 15. MILAZZO, M. & AVEN, T. (2012) An extended risk assessment approach for chemical plants applied to a study related to pipe ruptures. Reliability Engineering and System Safety. 99. pp. 183–192.
- 16. MONTEWKA, J., STÅHLBERG, K., SEPPÄLÄ, T. & KUJALA, P. (2010) Elements of risk analysis for collision of oil tankers. in: Risk, Reliability and Safety. pp. 1005–1013, London: Taylor and Francis Group.
- 17. PAPANIKOLAOU, A., HAMANN, R., LEE, B., MAINS, C., OLUFSEN, O., VASSALOS, D. & ZARAPHONITIS, G. (2013) GOALDS–Goal Based Damage Ship Stability and safety standards. Accident Analysis and Prevention. 60 November. pp. 353–365.
- 18. SORMUNEN, O-V. (2011) Mitigating Environmental Risks of Chemical Tanker Collisions with Recovery Vessels in the Gulf of Finland. Master’s Thesis. Hanken Swedish School of Economics.
- 19. SORMUNEN, O-V. (2012) Spill estimation of chemical tanker collisions in the Gulf of Finland. Master’s Thesis. Finland: Aalto University.
- 20. SORMUNEN, O-V. (2014) Ship Grounding Damage Estimation Using Statistical Models. in: Proceedings of the PSAM’12 Conference. 22–27 June 2014, Honololu, USA.
- 21. SORMUNEN, O-V., GOERLANDT, F., HÄKKINEN, J., POSTI, A., HÄNNINEN, M., MONTEWKA, J., STÅHLBERG, K. & KUJALA, P. (2014) Uncertainty in maritime risk analysis: Extended case study on chemical tanker collisions. in: Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers. Part M: Journal of Engineering for the Maritime Environment. doi: 10.1177/1475090213515640.
- 22. TAVAKOLI, M., AMDAHL, J. & LEIRA, B. (2012) Analytical and numerical modelling of oil spill from a side tank with collision damage. Ships and Offshore Structures. 7 (1). pp. 73–86.
- 23. WIEL, G. van de & DORP, J. van (2009) An oil outflow model for tanker collisions and groundings. Annals of Operations Research. 26 (1). pp. 1–26.
- 24. ZHU, L., JAMES, P. & ZHANG, S. (2002) Statistics and damage assessment of ship grounding, Marine Structures. 15 (4–5). pp. 515–530.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
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