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Long-term analysis of air temperatures variability and trends on the Romanian Black Sea Coast

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Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Air temperature is one of the most important parameters that contribute to weather variability over time, being influenced by the flow of solar radiation, the general circulation of currents in the atmosphere relief. The present paper analyzes the minimum, maximum, and mean temperatures in Dobrogea, on the Romanian Black Sea coastal area, aiming to illustrate their evolution, which is a precondition for sustainable development in this region, from the perspective of regional and global climate changes. The weather stations included in this study are Constanta, Mangalia, Gura Portitei, Sfantu Gheorghe, and Sulina. The Pettit Test and the Standard Normal Homogeneity Test were used to determine changes in the evolution of the air temperature. For the period 1990–2020, the analysis of the change points, with a 95% confidence level, shows a particularly interesting situation supporting the general evolution of air temperature at global level. Nonparametric tests including linear regression, Mann–Kendall, and Sen's slope tests were used to analyze trends for monthly, seasonal, and annual series. Results showed an increasing trend in the annual minimum, maximum, and mean temperatures in all five weather stations.
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Strony
2179--2197
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 38 poz.
Twórcy
  • Faculty of Navigation and Naval Management, Department of Navigation and Naval Transport, “Mircea Cel Batran” Naval Academy, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
  • Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Mathematics and Informatics, “Ovidius” University of Constanta, Căpitan Aviator Al. Serbănescu Street, No. 6, Campus, C Block, 900470 Constanta, Romania
autor
  • Dobrogea Meteorological Centre, Mamaia Bdv. No. 300, Constanta, Romania
autor
  • Faculty of Navigation and Naval Management, Department of Navigation and Naval Transport, “Mircea Cel Batran” Naval Academy, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
autor
  • Maritime Hydrographic Directorate, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
  • Maritime Hydrographic Directorate, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
  • Maritime Hydrographic Directorate, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
  • “Spiru Haret” University, Unirii Street, No. 32-34, 900532 Constanta, Romania
  • Faculty of Navigation and Naval Management, Department of Navigation and Naval Transport, “Mircea Cel Batran” Naval Academy, Fulgerului Street, No. 1, 900218 Constanta, Romania
Bibliografia
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  • 3. Arghius V, Muntean L-O, Baciu N, Macicasan V, Arghius C (2020) Analysis of annual and seasonal air temperature trends in central part of Romania. Present Environ Sustain Dev. https://doi.org/10.15551/pesd2020141004
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  • 6. Barbu N, Cuculeanu V, Stefan S (2016b) Investigation of the relationship between very warm days in Romania and large-scale atmospheric circulation using multiple linear regression approach. Theor Appl Climatol 126:273–284. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-015-1579-7
  • 7. Barbulescu A (2016) Modeling temperature evolution. Case Study Roman Rep Phys 68(2):788–798
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  • 11. Bosneagu R, Torica E, Scurtu IC (2021) The evolution of the temperature on the Romanian Black Sea coast between 1965–2014, from the perspective of the regional and global climatic changes. IOP Conf Ser Earth Environ Sci 635:012008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/635/1/012008
  • 12. Bosneagu R et al (2022) The evolution of precipitation on the Romanian Black Sea coast during 1965–2016, from the perspective of regional and global climate changes. IOP Conf Ser Earth Environ Sci 968:012003. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/968/1/012003
  • 13. Busuioc A, Dobrinescu A, Birsan MV, Dumitrescu A, Orzan A (2014) Spatial and temporal variability of climate extremes in Romania and associated large-scale mechanisms. Int J Climatol 35:1278–1300. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.4054
  • 14. Bărbulescu A, Deguenon J (2015) About the variations of precipitation and temperature evolution in the Romanian Black Sea littoral. Rom Rep Phys 67(2):625–637
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  • 31. Mocanu-Vargancsik CA, Barbulescu A (2019) Study of temperature evolution’s trend on the Black Sea shore, at Constanta. J Phys: Conf Ser 1297(1):012010. https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/1297/1/012010
  • 32. Karmeshu N (2012) Trend detection in annual temperature and precipitation using the Mann Kendall test-a case study to assess climate change on select States in the northeastern United States, Master of environment studies capstone project, University of Pennsylvania, USA
  • 33. Pettitt AN (1979) A non-parametric approach to the change-point problem. J R Stat Soc Series C (Appl Statistics) 28(2):126–135. https://doi.org/10.2307/2346729
  • 34. Prăvălie R, Bandoc G, Patriche C (2017) Tomescu M (2017) Spatio-temporal trends of mean air temperature during 1961–2009 and impacts on the crop (maize) yields in the most important agricultural region of Romania. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 31:1923–1939. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-016-1278-7
  • 35. Salmi T, Maatta A, Anttila P, Ruoho-Airola T, Amnell T (2002) Detecting trends of annual values of atmospheric pollutants by the Mann-Kendall test and sen’s slope estimates‒The excel template application MAKESENS, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Publications on air quality, No 31, Helsinki
  • 36. Sen PK (1968) Estimates of the regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. J Am Stat Assoc 63:1379–1389
  • 37. Sulikowska A, Wypych A (2020) Summer temperature extremes in Europe: How does the definition affect the results? Theor Appl Climatol 141:19–30. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-020-03166-8
  • 38. Yaman B, Ertuğrul M (2020) Change-point detection and trend analysis in monthly, seasonal and annual air temperature and precipitation series in Bartın province in the western Black Sea region of Turkey. Geol Geogr Environ 46(3):223–237. https://doi.org/10.7494/geol.2020.46.3.223
Uwagi
PL
Opracowanie rekordu ze środków MEiN, umowa nr SONP/SP/546092/2022 w ramach programu "Społeczna odpowiedzialność nauki" - moduł: Popularyzacja nauki i promocja sportu (2022-2023).
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-320255fc-b1e9-43ef-ab5d-9c7cc96ba6f1
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