In this article we describe a method that was developed to predict the effect of climate and land use change on wet to moist mesotrophic grasslands occurring along lowland streams. The indirect climate effects, i.e. through changes in hydrology, and effects of land use changes are calculated with an integrated ecohydrological model. Direct climate effects, through temperature changes, are derived from a comparative biogeographical study. Application in a study area shows that climate effects are probably limited and small compared to land use effects.
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