Wyniki wyszukiwania - Biblioteka Nauki

1

Znaczenie wydatków wojskowych w ocenie efektów polityki fiskalnej

100%

Krajewski P. , Szymańska A.

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nr 4

425-441

PL

Celem artykułu jest zbadanie wpływu polityki fiskalnej na PKB w Czechach, Polsce i na Węgrzech na podstawie kształtowania się wydatków wojskowych. W badaniu wykorzystano model SVAR oparty na identyfikacji O. Blancharda i R. Perottiego. W modelu tym wykorzystano trzy zmienne: PKB, podatki netto oraz wydatki wojskowe, które mają bardziej egzogeniczny charakter niż pozostałe wydatki rządowe. Z przeprowadzonych analiz wynika, że polityka fiskalna w zakresie wydatków wojskowych silnie oddziałuje na kształtowanie się PKB w analizowanych gospodarkach – w każdym z badanych krajów uzyskano maksymalne mnożniki wydatków wojskowych są znacznie wyższe od jedności. Otrzymane wyniki pokazują, że tradycyjnie szacowane mnożniki wydatków rządowych prawdopodobnie niedoszacowują siły oddziaływania polityki fiskalnej na gospodarkę. Funkcje reakcji na impuls wskazują przy tym na znaczne zróżnicowanie trwałości skutków zmian wydatków rządowych. W przypadku Polski oddziaływanie polityki fiskalnej na PKB jest najbardziej trwałe, natomiast na Węgrzech wygasa przed upływem dwóch lat od wystąpienia szoku.

EN

The aim of this article is to analyze the impact of military spending shocks on GDP in the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary. This study is based on SVAR model with identification scheme of O. Blanchard and R. Perotti. Our model includes three variables: real GDP, net taxes and military spending, which is more exogenous than other government spending. The results show that military spending has a strong influence on GDP growth in analyzed countries – in each country, the peak multiplier is significantly higher than one. The results exhibit that traditionally estimated multipliers of government spending probably underestimate the impact of fiscal policy on the economy. The impulse response functions indicate significant differences in durability of the effects of changes in government expenditure. In case of Poland, the impact of military spending shocks on GDP is most persistent, while in Hungary it expires within two years after the shock.

RU

Целью статьи является исследование влияния фискальной политики на ВВП в Чехии, Польше и в Венгрии на основании формирования военных расходов. В исследовании была использована модель SVAR, опирающаяся на идентификации О.Бланшара и Р.Пероттти. В этой модели были использованы три переменных: ВВП, налоги нетто и военные расходы, которые имеют более эгзогенный характер, чем остальные правительственные расходы. Проведенный анализ показал, что фискальная политика в области военных расходов сильно влияет на формирование ВВП – в каждой из названных стран максимальные множители военных расходов были значительно выше единицы. Полученные результаты показывают, что рассчитываемые традиционными методами множители правительственных расходов, вероятно недооценивают силу воздействия фискальной политики на экономику. Функции реакции на импульс указывают при этом на значительную дифференциацию устойчивости последствий изменений правитель- ственных расходов. В случае Польши воздействие фискальной политики на ВВП является наиболее устойчивым, зато в Венгрии оно угасает до истечения двух лет с момента появления шока.

2

Tendencje w wydatkach wojskowych Polski w latach 2001-2004

75%

Stańczyk K. , Płaczek J.

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tom nr 3(60)

119-128

EN

The goal of this article is to diagnose military expenditures of our country during the last four years. The analysis of this process is necessary not only for our politicians but also for soldiers, economists, but most and foremost for our citizens. It is important to inform the nation in every democratic country how its military forces are trained, equipped and financed. During the period from 2001 to 2004 the budget of MON (Ministry of National Defence underwent positive transformation both in the range of global amount of expenditures, structure and dynamics. From its GDP, Poland spent around 1.95% while from the National Budget about 8.2%. The increasing trend of MON budgetary expenditures has been visible since 2002 in the range between 2.0 and 4.2%, while the 2004 budget was higher by 8.6% than the 2001 one. The average yearly pace of that increase versus 2001 was 2.8%. Property expenditures occurred during that time. They covered purchases of military armament and equipment as well as construction investments. They amounted to the total MON Budget in the following numbers: 9.5% in 2001, 12.7% in 2002. 13.6% in 2003 and 16.3% in 2004 (including funds from the so called “aircraft reserve’’ - 17.2%). The property expenditures (in constant 2004 prices) doubled, out of which 85.3% was devoted to purchases of armament and military equipment. Current expenditures remain at a relatively steady level. In 2004 they were around 3.5 billion USD. In order to achieve such a significant increase of military expenditures, the National Defence Department undertook many painful for the military society decisions (reduction of employment, disbanding military bases). Unfortunately, they were unavoidable.

3

Wydatki wojskowe NATO w pierwszej dekadzie XXI wieku

63%

Kurek S. T.

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tom nr 4(81)

215-229

EN

Finances make one of the most important ties connecting security and the system of national economy. Therefore, taking into consideration the character of contemporary armed conflicts, this statement gains more and more importance. Supporting such a stance, the author of the article wants to present synthetically the number of NATO military expenditures and changes that have undergone in this economic area, particularly in financial bases of NATO's power in the first decade of the 21st century. Such a definition of this area caused that the article raises issues of military expenditures global quota in the world, shaping tendency of defence expenditures in NATO countries and the idea of financing political and military activities undertaken by the Alliance (managing the common budget). The author shows explicitly a constant tendency of great diversification of the military expenditure levels in selected NATO countries and the lack of NATO's final consensus in reference to the system of financing future common tasks within the Alliance, what does not augur well both in the context of this organization's capabilities and management.