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EN
Water shortage consider on of the main threats facing the agriculture, mainly in the Mediterranean area. So that there is a great need to apply new methods to water resource management. The crop models are used to achieve this objective. Tomato is a significant vegetable crop globally and represent an important part of horticultural production with 180 million tons produced on over five million hectares even though few studies have validated the AquaCrop model, especially in Egypt. This study was conducted in a protected cultivation experimental farm, Agricultural Research Center (ARC), Dokki, Giza, Egypt during the winter seasons of 2019/2020 and 2020/2021. Different irrigation levels (IL): 55%, 70%, 85%, 100%, and 115% of evapotranspiration (Eto) were applied on tomato. Plant growth parameters, relative chlorophyll content (SPAD), yield, fruit quality and plant nutrients (NPK) were recorded at both seasons. Also, the aforementioned irrigation levels were used to validate the AquaCrop model on different climate change scenarios on tomato productivity in 2050 and 2100. The findings revealed that the highest plant growth parameters were obtained in 85% and 100% Eto as compared to all treatments at both seasons. In contrast, the 55% of Eto obtained the lowest values of all plant growth parameters. The number of fruits/plant, early yield, and total yield of 100% Eto were ranked secondly. Fruits quality was significantly affected by the tested ILs. The highest values of TSS, firmness and vit C of tomato fruits were obtained by 55% followed by 70% Eto. The lowest proline content was recorded at 115% of Eto in both seasons. The content of proline in plants of 70% Eto ranked secondly after 55% of Eto in both seasons. The results of AquaCrop model (Version 7.0) revealed that the crop productivity decreased by 4% and 33% of RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively, of the years 2050, 14% and 44% for the same scenarios, respectively, of the year 2100.
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tom no. 3
139--151
EN
Climate change is a common factor that contributes to the growth or decline of animal populations. The present study, conducted using the Species Distribution Model, highlights the fact that despite the recognized negative impact of wild boar (Sus scrofa) on semi-natural areas and agricultural systems worldwide, the species remains poorly studied. According to projections for Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, increased clusters of wild boar abundance are expected to emerge around fragmented species assemblages by 2070. Sus scrofa is an extremely destructive and rapidly spreading invasive species whose movement appears to be facilitated by humans. As a consequence, many endemic plants are threatened with extinction. Biological corridors between fragments with poor conservation status should be linked to priority areas for adequate protection. The creation of preserved landscapes in territories separated from semi-natural ecosystems is recommended. Additionally, these measures can help mitigate the negative impact of S. scrofa on local biodiversity. Continuous monitoring and adaptive management strategies will be crucial for long-term conservation of the affected areas. Environmental protection efforts must prioritize the restoration of natural habitats and the implementation of strict regulations to control the spread of this invasive species. Collaborations between conservation organizations, governments, farmers, and local communities are essential to ensure effective wild boar management and the preservation of arable land and forests. Moreover, public awareness campaigns about the environmental impact of wild boar and the importance of conservation efforts are critical for garnering broader support.
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nr 2
EN
The paper is a compilation of results, which indicate the scale of possible changes of agroclimate that will occur as a result of the ongoing global warming on Polish territory. Calculations on the future meteorological elements were performed using WGENK weather generator. The 300 variants were obtained of possible annual weather courses dating to the beginning of the second half of this century, and corresponding annual indices of the A1 scenario developed by the IPCC (The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). According to the local climate-factors, obtained data indicate that there are possible situations satisfying assumptions A1 main scenario, exceeding the current climate indicators in terms of temperature, radiation and precipitation, both downward and upward. Apart from this it is possible to greatly expend of the growing season as well as a higher frequency of certain adverse events such as frosts and drought periods. Due to the inability to accurately predict the weather in the perspective of decades and because the main indicators of climate can be realized locally in the form of multiple variants of weather on an annual agricultural production results are difficult to unambiguously determine. Agricultural productivity will certainly significantly be changed, but regardless of global change will have important local factors.
PL
Przedstawione w artykule wyniki wskazują na skalę ewentualnych zmian agroklimatu w porównaniu ze stanem obecnym. Nastąpią one w efekcie trwającego globalnego ocieplenia na terytorium Polski. Obliczenia dotyczące przyszłych warunków meteorologicznych przeprowadzono przy użyciu generatora pogody WGENK. Pozyskano w ten sposób 300 wariantów możliwych rocznych przebiegów pogody datowanych na początek drugiej połowy aktualnego stulecia, przy przyjęciu wskaźnika ogólnego wzrostu temperatury według scenariusza A1 opracowanego przez IPCC (The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). Zgodnie z lokalnymi uwarunkowaniami klimatycznymi uzyskane dane wskazują, że możliwe są bardzo różnorodne sytuacje pogodowe, spełniające ogólne założenia A1. Najbardziej prawdopodobne jest zatem wydłużenie wegetacji, jak i znaczne jej skrócenie, częstość zjawisk ekstremalnych może się zwiększyć, jak i obniżyć (np. mrozy, susze). Wskaźniki przyszłego klimatu mogą się spełnić lokalnie w postaci różnych wariantów pogody w układzie rocznym, kiedy w przyszłości temperatura globalna wzrośnie, to agroklimat lokalny może okazać się w tej samej mierze korzystny, jak i niekorzystny. Zatem trudno jednoznacznie przewidzieć przyszły stan agroklimatu i wynikający z tego poziom produkcji rolnej, gdyż niezależnie od tendencji globalnych, rola czynników lokalnych będzie znacząca.
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