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Traditional strategic models focused on resource management seem to be insufficient in the face of the contemporary tasks facing decision-makers. In a dynamic and rapidly changing world, a strategy must focus first and foremost on the future. If we think about strategy as a form of “theory of victory,” the key question shoud deal with the optimal and functional future order, its shape, components and relations between them. The ubiquitousness of risk perception in modern societies creates a need for the new approach to a strategy and openness to “new thinking,” adding flexiblity to the existing conditions. In the face of the imperative of anticipation and—consequently—prevention and preemption, “defensive strategies” become “offensive,” so modern states in their policies are faced with the need to adopt offensive attitudes (anticipatory, preemptive, preventive). In view of the need to move away from schematism, it seems crucial to make good use of existing and create new “strategists” capable of creative thinking.
EN
The onset of a modern idea of Belarusian statehood coincides with the period of the end of the First World War. It was a particularly difficult time for Belarusian lands: the front, which divided the country into two parts for a long time; the scorched-earth policy employed by the Russians; mass requisitions carried out by both armies, war destruction and recruitment drainage all contributed to the ongoing economic and demographic collapse of Belarus. The proclamation of independence of the Belarusian People’s Republic on 25 March 1918 turned out to be a short-lived success. As a territorial entity, the young state survived only until December that year. The challenges which the supporters of the country’s independence had to face between 1918 and 1919 surpassed capabilities and organizational skills of the movement. It also seems that the pace of development and the nature of geopolitical challenges were beyond the abilities of the Belarusian elite.
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