Objectives This paper attempts to forecast the future of warfare methods in the forthcoming decades of the 21st century. The predictions reflect on the current trends observed in the development of military and civil (dual-use) technologies and changes in thought constructs developed for hostilities. Methods Empirical and theoretical research methods were utilised in the study. The research data, obtained from the review of source materials, were subsequently subjected to examination through analysis, synthesis and comparison. Results The methods of warfare at the turn of the 21st century are likely to reflect the technological evolution of the modern age. Considering the present-day trends, there is a good probability that our technology-driven lives will transform people into hybrids of biological organisms merged with the technological environment, integrated with the body. Therefore, hostile action against human soldiers could be taken on three major levels: the biological organism, the mass communication technology integrated into the body, and the mental level – both in the conscious and the subconscious sphere. The study into how the soldier’s mental sphere can be influenced to anticipate and shape behaviours may contribute to further research on the third level impact on enemy soldiers. Conclusions The conclusions formulated in this analysis may carry significant implications for the works on an innovative methodology of the future warfare, accounting for the technological progress in the next decades of the 21st century, and a methodology for countering future military threats.
In article authors touched one of the most important risk category – cultural risk – which is an integral part of each social system. Such kind of the system is also logistic system. It was emphasized, that from the management and employees point of view assigned tasks, the way of its distribution and executing strongly depend on culture which originate respective people linked by relationship within particular organization. Structure and global range of contemporary supply chains constitute intercultural factors one of the most significant in terms of potential source of disruption, hence decreasing efficiency of particular organization.
PL
W artykule poruszono jedną z najistotniejszych kategorii ryzyka – ryzyko kulturowe - które dotyczy systemów społecznych. Takim systemem jest również system logistyczny. Podkreślono, że zarówno ze strony kierownictwa, jak i pracowników danej firmy, zadania oraz sposób ich rozdzielenia i wykonania zależą w dużej mierze od kultury z jakiej pochodzą poszczególne osoby powiązane zależnościami w danej organizacji. Struktura oraz globalny zasięg współczesnych łańcuchów dostaw stawia czynniki międzykulturowe na jednym z najwyższych miejsc jeśli chodzi o potencjalne źródła zakłóceń ich funkcjonowania, a tym samym zmniejszenia ich efektywności.
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