If investors were rational, they would buy the stock of companies which in their opinion represent the highest probability of generating profit or value growth. Therefore a positive correlation between a share price increase (as an indicator of investors’ confidence in the future prosperity of given company) and subsequent benefits should be evident. This, however, doesnot always happen. One of the reasons why this seemingly natural relation is not observed may be that investors do not always behave rationally. Another may be certain methodological issues discussed in the article. The research presented was based on a sample of 458 companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. The time period covered the years 1998-2015. It has been found that there is no linear dependency between quotations and the company’s end results understood as income per invested zloty and book value growth per invested zloty. The outcome of the research may have been disturbed by methodological factors, therefore in the research tofollow different risks, including differences in subgroups (sectors, small and big firms) as well as other ratios will be taken into account and the non-linear dependency will be verified.
PL
Wzrost oczekiwań co do wyników spółki powinien pociągać za sobą wzrost popytu na akcje i w konsekwencji wzrost ich ceny. Jeśli inwestorzy byli dobrze poinformowani i podjęli racjonalne decyzje, spółki, których akcje podrożały, powinny przynieść większe zyski. W niniejszym opracowaniu podjęto próbę weryfikacji, czy wzrost zainteresowania walorami spółki poprzedza poprawę jej rentowności dla inwestora. Badanie przeprowadzono na próbie 458 spółek notowanych na Giełdzie Papierów Wartościowych w Warszawie. Przedział czasowy obejmuje okres od 1998 do 2015 r. Okazuje się, że nie istnieje liniowa zależność między notowaniami a wynikami spółki rozumianymi jako wzrost poziomu zysku na zainwestowaną złotówkę ani względny wzrost wartości księgowej na zainwestowaną złotówkę. Wyniki mogły zostać zaburzone ze względów metodologicznych, dlatego w dalszych badaniach zasadne będzie uwzględnienie m.in. ryzyka, różnic w podgrupach (sektorach, dużych i małych spółkach), przyjęcie innych wskaźników czy weryfikacja zależności nieliniowej.
Opłata w funduszu inwestycyjnym – będąca ceną produktu – powinna być powiązana z cechami produktu, jak na przykład wyniki, na podstawie których inwestorzy podejmują decyzje odnośnie do zakupu. W niniejszej pracy sprawdzono czy istnieje zależność pomiędzy dobrymi wynikami funduszu w przeszłości (1- i 5-letni horyzont czasowy) a opłatą bieżącą. Badanie polskich otwartych funduszy inwestycyjnych w 2017 roku pokazuje, że nie ma wyraźnej liniowej bądź nieliniowej zależności między wynikami a opłatą bieżącą. Obliczenia zostały wykonane przy użyciu narzędzia dopasowywania krzywych w programie R i analizy korelacji. W drugiej części artykułu porównano strategie inwestowania w najdroższe i najtańsze fundusze z podziałem na typ funduszu (akcji, mieszane i obligacji). Wywnioskowano, że wyniki nie są istotnym czynnikiem podnoszącym opłaty. Jeśli opłaty nie zależą od rezultatów funduszu, to albo dystrybucja opłat pomiędzy funduszami jest losowa, albo wyjaśnienia należy szukać wśród czynników niefundamentalnych, jak reklama czy aspekty behawioralne.
EN
A mutual fund fee – being the price of a product – is related to the features of the product, like fund results, which are the base in the inves’s purchase decision making process. In the present study, we examine whether there is a relation between good performance of the fund in the past (1- and 5-year-time horizons) and the current fee. The research for the Polish open-ended mutual funds market in 2017 indicates that there is no clear linear or non-linear relation between past performance and current charges. The computations were conducted using fitting curves packages in the R programming language and a correlation analysis. In the second part of the article, the strategies of investing in the cheapest and the most expensive funds were compared, with a split into fund types (stock, mixed and bond funds). The overall conclusion is that performance is not a driver for imposing higher fees on the investors. If it is not, then either fee distribution among the funds is random or other non-fundamental factors matters. Keywords: mutual fund, fund fees, charges, fund performance.
Research background: The investor`s expectation of better performance in the case of more expensive mutual funds seems natural and fully justified. However, the rise of passive funds and their surprisingly good results, especially when taking into account their low fees, triggered the discussion. Recent years have brought more and more studies, conducted mostly for the American market, discrediting high-charging, aggressive funds. First analyses in Poland also indicate that the level of fees is not always linked with the fund's performance. Purpose of the article: The purpose of the study is to investigate the relation between the fees imposed by the mutual funds and the funds` performance. The idea is to verify, whether higher management fees are associated with top performance and whether it is rational to pay more for capital management. Methods: In the first step of the study, linearity and direction of the dependency was explored, using scatterplots and correlation analysis. In the second part, the linear regression was created to verify the strength of the relation. One-factor models have been built with the rate of return and standard deviation as independent variables for 1-, 3- and 5-year time horizons. Moreover, two-factor models, including both rate of return and risk has been created, to compare the significance of return and risk factor. Findings & Value added: The results indicated that more expensive Polish mutual funds in 2015 tended to perform worse in all tested time horizons - both in terms of lower rates of return and higher risk. Especially unexpected are the results of rates of return regression analysis - it turns out that within a sample 1% higher fee implied over 0.6% lower rate of return before fees (in yearly period). Nonetheless, the risk turned out to be more important, explaining the charges variability much better than the rate of return. Another interesting finding of the study is that merely two simple factors (return and risk) explain even as much as 60% of the management fee variability.
Mutual fund fees are extraordinarily high in Poland – almost three times higher than in Western Europe and almost five times higher than in the United States. In fact is that from among 183 Polish open-ended stock mutual funds as many as 81 impose a management fee of 4%, which is the highest value in the sample. The question arises whether it is really worth to invest in funds from the more expensive group. Comparing funds charging the highest fees (4%) with the cheaper ones it seems that there is no statistically significant difference between rate of return, risk and efficiency. However, more expensive funds have on average higher costs, are three years older and have almost 70% bigger assets. This may suggest that a well-established market position – not performance – is the trigger for raising their fees. Interestingly, funds with a relatively high minimal initial contribution level (5,000 PLN) have significantly lower management fees with similar costs, total assets value and performance results. Further analysis has also indicated that the costs level (Total Expense Ratio) is higher for older funds, while it is not related to funds’ size.
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