Wyniki wyszukiwania - Biblioteka Nauki

1

Interpretation of Structural Parameters for Models with Spatial Autoregression

100%

Pietrzak M. B.

Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy

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2013

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tom 8

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nr 2

129-155

EN

The main purpose of the article is to consider a important issue of spatial econometrics, which is a proper interpretation of structural parameters of econo-metric models with spatial autoregression. The problem will be considered basing on the example of the spatial SAR model. Another purpose of the article is to make an overview of measures of average spatial impact proposed by the subject litera-ture (see Lesage and Pace 2009). The analysis will include such measures as Aver-age Total Impact to an Observation, Average Total Impact from an Observation, Average Indirect Impact to an Observation, Average Indirect Impact from an Ob-servation and Average Direct Impact. Having considered the above issues, I will introduce a set of three original measures that allow the interpretation of the strength of the impact of the explanatory processes within the spatial SAR model, which take the forms of average direct impact, average indirect impact and average induced impact. The use of this set of measures will be illustrated with the example of the analysis of the unemployment rate in Poland. It must be emphasized that the presented set of measures may also be designated for other spatial models. With the knowledge of the empirical form of the model and of the spatial weight matrix, the set of measures introduced simplifies significantly the complex procedure of the interpretation of the structural parameters for spatial models to the use of merely three values.

2

Analiza migracji wewnętrznych w kontekście aspektów społeczno-gospodarczych – podejście dwuetapowe

63%

Wilk J. , Pietrzak M. B.

Econometrics. Ekonometria. Advances in Applied Data Analytics

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2013

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nr 2(40)

62-73

EN

The aim of this paper is to present a proposal of two-stage approach for determining dependencies between socio-economic aspects and migration phenomena and also to make an attempt to apply it in the analysis of internal migrations in Poland in 2004-2011. A construction of econometric gravity model using taxonomical measure has been presented. Significance, intensity and impact direction of selected socio-economic aspects on domes voivodeships are much more mobile territorially; a poor situation of a region is an impeding factor of migratory movement. Regional labour market situation constitutes a deciding reason of population inflow, while a standard of living plays a negligible role. Migration scope is relatively slight in Poland, significant population flows take place between neighbouring regions. Economic cycle affects an intensity of domestic population flows. During the period of prosperity the flows seem to be more dispersed and one-way in their nature, while in the period of economic crisis they stabilize and a group of destination regions is getting narrowed down.

3

Application of Structural Equation Modeling for analysing internal migration phenomena in Poland

51%

Pietrzak M. B. , Żurek M. , Matusik S. , Wilk J.

Przegląd Statystyczny

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2012

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tom 59

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nr 4

487-503

EN

Migrations form the size and structure of human resources in regions. For that reason they have not only a demographic but also a social and economic character. The existing research is often not enough due to a spatial, temporary and also a multidimensional character of this occurrence. The subject of this paper is to apply Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) concept for analysing the population migration phenomena considering the gravity model. This approach allows describing the social and economic situation in regions considering a set of correlated variables and it also allows determining its influence on migration flows. The first part of the article describes the construction and interpretation of the gravity model and the concept of the SEM model. In the second part the adopted research procedure and the research scope are presented. In the last part, the results of the investigation are explained. The strength and direction of the impact of the socio-economic development on the migration flows between subregions (NUTS 3) in Poland in the years 2008-2010 are discussed.

PL

Migracje kształtują wielkość i strukturę zasobów ludzkich w regionach, mają więc wymiar nie tylko demograficzny, ale także społeczno-gospodarczy. Prowadzone badania obejmujące najczęściej analizę wskaźnikową, są często niewystarczające ze względu na przestrzenno-czasowy i wielowymiarowy charakter tego zjawiska. Celem artykułu jest propozycja zastosowania w analizie migracji metodologii SEM z uwzględnieniem modelu grawitacji. Takie podejście pozwala opisać sytuację społeczno-ekonomiczną regionów z wykorzystaniem zmiennych skorelowanych, a także określić jej wpływ na przepływy migracyjne. W pierwszej części artykułu omówiona jest konstrukcja i interpretacja modelu grawitacji oraz koncepcja modelu SEM. W drugiej części omówiono przyjętą procedurę badawczą oraz zakres badań. W ostatniej części zaprezentowano wyniki prowadzonej analizy. Określono siłę i kierunek oddziaływania poziomu rozwoju społeczno-ekonomicznego na przepływy migracyjne między podregionami (NUTS 3) w Polsce w latach 2008-2010.