Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Objective: The aim of the article was to forecast the necessary pace of changes in the share of RES in the V4 countries resulting from the EU's renewable energy sources directive compared to other European Union countries.
Research Design & Methods: The research area included all EU Member States, and in particular the Visegrad Group countries. Forecasts of future RES share values were based on two models: Holt-Winters and the autoregressive (AR) model based on EUROSTAT statistical data.
Findings: The potential failure to meet the recommendations of the RES share in gross final energy consumption for 2022 concerns 19 of the 27 Member States, of which 2 countries belong to the Visegrad Group.
Implications & Recommendations: The research has implications mainly to raise awareness of the direction of RES development in the European Union countries.
Contribution & Value Added: The study contributes to the estimation of the future value of the share of renewable energy sources in the V4 countries compared to other countries European Union on the basis of the current activities of these Member States. The forecast makes it possible to initially determine the possibility of meeting the specific target regarding the share of renewable energy sources in the final energy consumption set out in the European Union directive. (original abstract)
Research Design & Methods: The research area included all EU Member States, and in particular the Visegrad Group countries. Forecasts of future RES share values were based on two models: Holt-Winters and the autoregressive (AR) model based on EUROSTAT statistical data.
Findings: The potential failure to meet the recommendations of the RES share in gross final energy consumption for 2022 concerns 19 of the 27 Member States, of which 2 countries belong to the Visegrad Group.
Implications & Recommendations: The research has implications mainly to raise awareness of the direction of RES development in the European Union countries.
Contribution & Value Added: The study contributes to the estimation of the future value of the share of renewable energy sources in the V4 countries compared to other countries European Union on the basis of the current activities of these Member States. The forecast makes it possible to initially determine the possibility of meeting the specific target regarding the share of renewable energy sources in the final energy consumption set out in the European Union directive. (original abstract)
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Numer
Strony
37-52
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Cracow University of Economics
autor
- Cracow University of Economics
Bibliografia
- 300gospodarka. (2021). Polska odejdzie od węgla dopiero w 2049? Tą deklaracją wypisujemy się z grona państw rozwiniętych, wskazują eksperci. Retrieved February 15, 2022, from https://300gospodarka.pl/news/polskawegiel-cop26-odejscie-od-wegla
- 300gospodarka. (2022). Czechy odejdą od węgla w 2033 roku. To jasny sygnał dla reszty Europy. Retrieved February 10, 2022, from https://300gospodarka.pl/news/czechy-odejda-od-wegla-w-2033-roku-to-jasnysygnal-dla-reszty-europy
- Angheluta, S.P., Burlacu, S., Diaconu, A., & Curea, C.S. (2019). The Energy from Renewable Sources in the European Union: Achieving the Goals. European Journal of Sustainable Development, 8(5), 57. https://doi.org/10.14207/ejsd.2019.v8n5p57
- Bhattacharya, M., Paramati, S.R., Ozturk, I., & Bhattacharya, S. (2016). The effect of renewable energy consumption on economic growth: Evidence from top 38 countries. Applied Energy, 162(C), 733-741.
- Brodny, J., Tutak, M., & Saki, S.A. (2020). Forecasting the Structure of Energy Production from Renewable Energy Sources and Biofuels in Poland. Energies, 13(10), 2539. https://doi.org/10.3390/en13102539
- Brodny, J., Tutak, M., & Bindzár, P. (2021). Assessing the Level of Renewable Energy Development in the European Union Member States. A 10-Year Perspective. Energies, 14(13), 3765. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14133765
- Brożyna, J., Strielkowski, W., Fomina, A., & Nikitina, N. (2020). Renewable Energy and EU 2020 Target for Energy Efficiency in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Energies, 13(4), 1-20, DOI:10.3390/en13040965
- Buriak, J. (2014). Ocena warunków nasłonecznienia i projektowanie elektrowni słonecznych z wykorzystaniem dedykowanego oprogramowania oraz baz danych (Assessment of insolation conditions and design of solar power plants with the use of dedicated software and databases). Zeszyty Naukowe Wydziału Elektrotechniki i Automatyki Politechniki Gdańskiej, 40, 1-4.
- Center for European Policy Analysis. (2016). The Ukraine War and CEE Energy Security. Retrieved February 20, 2022, from https://cepa.ecms.pl/files/?id_plik=2258
- Cetkovský, S., Frantál, B., Kallabová, E., & Novaková, E. (2009). Wind energy exploitation in the Czech Republic - situation, opportunities, and barriers. In I. Andráško, V. Ira & E. Kallabová (Eds.), Regional structures of the Czech Republic and Slovak Republic: Temporal - spatial changes (pp.10-15). Geografický ústav SAV.
- Ciucci, M. (2021). Renewable energy. Retrieved December 15, 2021, from https://www.europarl.europa.eu/factsheets/en/sheet/70/renewable energy
- Dizdaroglu, D. (2017). The Role of Indicator-Based Sustainability Assessment in Policy and the Decision-Making Process: A Review and Outlook. Sustainability, 9(6), 1018. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9061018
- Edenhofer, O., Hirth, L., Knopf, B., Pahle, M., Schlömer, S., Schmid, E., & Ueckerdt, F. (2013). On the economics of renewable energy sources. Energy Economics, 40(1), 2013, 12-23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2013.09.015
- European Commission. (2021a). Directorate-General for Research and Innovation, Horizon Europe, budget : Horizon Europe - the most ambitious EU research & innovation program ever. Publications Office. https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2777/714209
- European Commission. (2021b). Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions 'Fit for 55': delivering the EU's 2030 Climate Target on the way to climate neutrality. COM/2021/550 final. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52021DC0550&from=EN
- European Parliament. (2018a). Directive (EU) 2018/2001 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 December 2018 on the promotion of the use of energy from renewable sources. http://data.europa.eu/eli/dir/2018/2001/oj.
- European Parliament. (2018b). Proposal for a directive of the European Parliament and of the Council amending Directive (EU) 2018/2001 of the European Parliament and of the Council, Regulation (EU) 2018/1999 of the European Parliament and of the Council and Directive 98/70/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council as regards the promotion of energy from renewable sources, and repealing Council Directive (EU) 2015/652 COM/2021/557 final. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:dbb7eb9c-e575-11eba1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_1&format=PDF and https://eur-lex.europa.eu/resource.html?uri=cellar:dbb7eb9c-e575-11eb-a1a5-01aa75ed71a1.0001.02/DOC_2&format=PDF
- European Parliament. (2018c). Regulation (UE) 2018/1999 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 11 December 2018. https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:32018R1999&from=EN
- European Parliament. (2021). Renewable Energy. Fact Sheets on the European Union. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/ftu/pdf/en/FTU_2.4.9.pdf
- Falkner, R. (2014). Global environmental politics and energy: Mapping the research agenda. Energy Research and Social, 1, 188-197.
- Godawska, J., & Wyrobek, J. (2021). The Impact of Environmental Policy Stringency on Renewable Energy Production in the Visegrad Group Countries. Energies, 14(19), 6225. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14196225
- Heilmann, F., Popp, R., & Ámon, A. (2020). The Political Economy of Energy in Central and Eastern Europe. Supporting the Net Zero Transition. E3G.
- Hess, D.J. (2014). Sustainability transitions: A political coalition perspective. Research Policy, 43(2), 278-283.
- Hsiao, C.Y.-L., Lin, W., Wei, X., Yan, G., Li, S., & Sheng, N. (2019). The Impact of International Oil Prices on the Stock Price Fluctuations of China's Renewable Energy Enterprises. Energies, 12(24), 4630. https://doi.org/10.3390/en12244630
- Hu, Q., & Ding, M. (2016). Research on the volatility spillover effect of international crude oil price to China's new energy industry stock price. Account. Financ., 3, 78-84.
- Hudec, M. (2021). Slovak economy ministry announces first call for recovery plan projects. Retrieved February 24, 2021, from www.euractiv.com/section/politics/short_news/slovak-economy-ministry-announces-first-callfor-recovery-plan-projects/
- Instytut Energii Odnawialnej. (2019). Rynek fotowoltaiki w Polsce (The photovoltaic market in Poland). Instytut Energii Odnawialnej.
- International Energy Agency. (2021). Renewables 2021. Retrieved February 5, 2022 from https://www.iea.org/reports/renewables-2021
- International Trade Administration. (2020). Netherlands - Energy. Retrieved February 3, 2022 from https://www.trade.gov/country-commercial-guides/netherlands-energy
- Kaygusuz, K. (2012). Energy for sustainable development: A case of developing countries. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(2), 1116-1126. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2011.11.013
- Keles, S., & Bilgen, S. (2012). Renewable energy sources in Turkey for climate change mitigation and energy sustainability. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 16(7), 5199-5206. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2012.05.026
- Kotulewicz-Wisińska, K. (2018). Participation of the Visegrad Group countries in the implementation of the Eastern Partnership programme. Sovremennaya Evropa 7, 96-107.
- Kozar, Ł. (2019). Energy sector and the challenges of sustainable development-Analysis of spatial differentiation of the situation in the EU based on selected indicators. Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW w Warszawie. Problemy Rolnictwa Światowego, 18, 173-186.
- Kratochvíl, P., & Mišík, M. (2020). Bad external actors and good nuclear energy: Media discourse on energy supplies in the Czech Republic and Slovakia. Energy Policy, 136(11), 111058.
- Księżopolski, K., Maśloch, G., & Kotlewski, D. (2020). Energetyka odnawialna-wyzwanie dla krajów Europy Środkowo-Wschodniej. In Raport SGH i Forum Ekonomicznego (pp. 129-166).Oficyna Wydawnicza SGH.
- Kumar, B., Szepesi, G., Čonka, Z., Kolcun, M., Péter, Z., Berényi, L., & Szamosi, Z. (2021), Trendline Assessment of Solar Energy Potential in Hungary and Current Scenario of Renewable Energy in the Visegrád Countries for Future Sustainability. Sustainability, 13(10), 5462. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13105462
- Kundewicz, Z.W., & Juda-Rezler, K. (2010). Zagrożenia związane ze zmianą klimatu (Threats related to climate change).Nauka, 4, 70-71.
- Latawski, P. (1993). On Converging Paths? The Visegrad Group and the Atlantic Alliance. Paradigms, 7, 78-93.
- Lehr, U., & Ulrich, P. (2017). Economic Impacts of Renewable Energy Increase in Germany. In T. Uyar (Ed.) Towards 100% Renewable Energy. Springer Proceedings in Energy (pp. 263-272). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-45659-1_28
- Li, L., Lin, J., Wu, N., Xie, S., Meng, Ch., Zheng, Y., Wang, X., & Zhao, Y. (2022). Review and outlook on the international renewable energy development. Energy and Built Environment, 3(2), 139-157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enbenv.2020.12.002
- Magda, R., Bozsik, N., & Meyer, N. (2019). An Evaluation of Gross Island Energy Consumption of Six Central European Countries. Journal of Eastern European and Central Asian Research, 6(2), 270-281.
- Manowska, A. (2021). Forecasting of the Share of Renewable Sources in the Total Final Energy Consumption for Selected European Union Countries. Proceedings of the IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science. 7th World Multidisciplinary Earth Sciences Symposium (WMESS 2021), Prague, Czech, 6th-10th September 2021, 906, 012134. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/906/1/012134
- Ministerstwo Klimatu i Środowiska. (2022). Program dofinansowania mikroinstalacji fotowoltaicznych (Program for co-financing photovoltaic micro-installations). www.mojprad.gov.pl/
- Ministry of Climate. (2020). The Polish Nuclear Power Program. Retrieved February 15, 2022 from https://www.gov.pl/web/polski-atom/program-polskiej-energetyki-jadrowej-2020-r
- Ministry of Industry and Trade. (2019). National Energy and Climate Plan of the Czech Republic. Retrieved February 12, 2022 from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2020-03/cs_final_necp_main_en_0.pdf
- Ministry of Innovation and Technology. (2019). National Energy and Climate Plan. Retrieved February 13, 2022 from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2020-06/hu_final_necp_main_en_0.pdf
- Ministry of National Assets. (2019). The National Energy and Climate Plan for 2021-2030 Objectives and targets, and policies and measures. Retrieved February 14, 2022 from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2020-08/pl_final_necp_part_1_3_en_0.pdf
- Monti, A., & Martinez R. B. (2020). Fifty shades of binding: Appraising the enforcement toolkit for the EU's 2030 renewable energy targets. Review of European, Comparative & International Environmental Law, 29(2), 221-231. https://doi.org/10.1111/reel.12330 118
- Owusu, P.A., & Asumadu-Sarkodie, S. (2016). A review of renewable energy sources, sustainability issues and climate change mitigation. Cogent Engineering, 3(1), 1167990. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311916.2016.1167990
- Pach-Gurgul, A., & Ulbrych, M. (2019). Progress of the V4 Countries towards the EU's Energy and Climate Targets in the Context of Energy Security Improvement. Entrepreneurial Business and Economics Review, 7(2). https://doi.org/10.15678/EBER.2019.070210
- Pająk, K. & Mazurkiewicz, J. (2014). Mechanizmy wspierania rozwoju energetyki odnawialnej (Mechanisms for supporting the development of renewable energy). Studia Ekonomiczne, 166, 249-260.
- Renewables Now. (2019a). OVERVIEW - Baltics clear 2020 renewable energy targets, upbeat on 2030 green commitments. Retrieved February 3, 2022 from https://renewablesnow.com/news/overview-baltics-clear-2020-renewable-energy-targets-upbeat-on-2030-green-commitments-651885/
- Renewables Now (2019b). Hungary reaches 13,9% renewables share in 2020 final energy. Retrieved February 24, 2022 from https://renewablesnow.com/news/hungary-reaches-139-renewables-share-in-2020-final-energy-767481/
- Simon, P., & Deák, P. (2020). Renewable energy law and regulation in Hungary. Retrieved February 24, 2022 from https://cms.law/en/int/expert-guides/cms-expert-guide-to-renewable-energy/hungary
- Singh, R.K. (2008). Renewable Energy: technology, economics and environment. Journal of Resources, Energy and Development, 5(1), 65-66. https://doi.org/10.3233/RED-120050
- Slovak Ministry of Economy. (2019). Integrated National Energy and Climate Plan for 2021 to 2030. Retrieved February 15, 2022 from https://energy.ec.europa.eu/system/files/2020-03/sk_final_necp_main_en_0.pdf
- Sulich, A., & Sołoducho-Pelc, L. (2021). Renewable Energy Producers' Strategies in the Visegrád Group Countries. Energies, 14(11), 3048. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14113048
- Szumksta-Zawadzka, M., & Zawadzki, J. (2014). Modele wyrównywania wykładniczego w prognozowaniu zmiennych ekonomicznych ze złożoną sezonowością (Exponential smoothings models in forecasting of economic variables with complex seasonality). Folia Pomeranae Universitatis Technologiae Stetinesis. Oeconomica, 76, 137-146.
- Utkucan, Ş. (2021). Future of renewable energy consumption in France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Turkey and UK by 2030 using optimized fractional nonlinear grey Bernoulli model. Sustainable Production and Consumption, 25, 1-14, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.spc.2020.07.009
- Wach, K., Głodowska, A., Maciejewski, M. & Sieja, M. (2021). Europeanization Processes of the EU Energy Policy in Visegrad Countries in the Years 2005-2018. Energies 14(7), 1802. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14071802
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171657980
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.