Ratification of the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA): Towards A New Structure of Political Conflict?

• Autorzy: Aleksandra Maatsch
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

Has the high-profile public opposition to recent EU trade agreements supplanted the traditional socio-economic pattern of competition in European trade policy with a value-driven one? This article draws on new data analysing the outcome of the ratifi cation process of a mixed free trade agreement (CETA) in the European Parliament and in all national parliaments that have so far completed ratification. With help of a logistic regression model analysing the vote-outcome, this article demonstrates that despite high social salience, economic considerations remain prominent. Values (TAN-GAL cleavage) were relevant but played a diff erent role than expected. Against the expectation, green parties associated with the GAL-spectrum voted against CETA demonstrating that party preferences on specific values do not necessarily coincide or generate the same policy preference. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Kompleksowa umowa gospodarczo-handlowa; Parlament; Handel międzynarodowy

EN

Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA); Parliament; International trade

• Czasopismo: Polish Political Science Review. Polski Przegląd Politologiczny
• Rocznik: 2022
• Numer: Vol. 10, Iss. 1
• Strony: 21-34

Twórcy

autor

Aleksandra Maatsch

• University of Wrocław, Poland

Bibliografia

• Baker, A. 2005. "Who wants to globalize? Consumer tastes and labor markets in a theory of trade policy beliefs." American Journal of Political Science 49 (4): 924-938.
• Boix, C. 2000. "Partisan Government, International Economy and Macroeconomic Policies." World Politics 53 (1): 38-73.
• Buonanno, L. A. 2017. "The new trade deals and the mobilisation of civil society organizations: comparing EU and US responses." Journal of European Integration 39(7): 795-809, DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2017.1371711
• Duina, F. 2019. "Why the excitement? Values, identities, and the politicization of EU trade policy with North America." Journal of European Public Policy, DOI:10.1080/13501763.2019.1678056.
• Dür, A., Eckhardt, J. and Poletti, A. 2019. "Global value chains, the anti-globalization backlash, and EU trade policy: a research agenda." Journal of European Public PolicyDOI: 10.1080/13501763.2019.1619802.
• Garrett, G. 1998. Partisan Politics in the Global Economy. New York: Cambridge.
• Hooghe, L. and Marks, G. 2018. "Cleavage theory meets Europe's crises: Lipset, Rokkan, and the transnational cleavage." Journal of European Public Policy 25 (1): 109-35,DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2017.1310279.
• Hübner, K., Balik, T. and Deman A-S. 2017. "EU and trade policy-making: The contentious case of CETA." Journal of European Integration 39 (7): 843-57.
• Iversen, T. 1999. Contested Economic Institutions. New York: Cambridge University Press.
• Jamal, A., and Milner, H. V. 2019. "Economic self-interest, information, and trade policy preferences: evidence from an experiment in Tunisia." Review of International Political Economy 26 (4): 545-572, DOI: 10.1080/09692290.2018.1563559.
• Jančić, D. (2016) "The Role of the European Parliament and the US Congress in Shaping Transatlantic Relations: TTIP, NSA Surveillance, and CIA Renditions", Journal of Common Market Studies, vol. 54(4): 896-912.
• Jančić, D. (2019) "EU-Canada Relations and CETA: A Tale of Legislative Trade Diplomacy" Davor Jančić (pp: 465-484) in: Raube, K., Wouters, J. and Müft üler-Baç, M. (2019) Parliamentary Cooperation and Diplomacy in EU External Relations (Cheltenham: EE Elgar, pp: 465-484).
• Jančić, D. 2017. "TTIP and legislative-executive relations in EU trade policy." West European Politics 40 (1): 202-21, DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2016.1240407.
• Jungherr, A., Mader, M., Schoen, H. and Wuttke, A. 2018. "Context-driven attitude formation: the diff erence between supporting free trade in the abstract and supporting specifi c trade agreements." Review of International Political Economy 25 (2): 215-242, DOI: 10.1080/09692290.2018.1431956.
• Katzenstein, P. 1985. Small States in World Markets. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.
• Kriesi, H. 2010. "Restructuration of partisan politics and the emergence of a new cleavage based on values." West European Politics 33 (3): 673-85.
• Kriesi, H. 2014. "The Populist Challenge." West European Politics, 37 (2): 361-378, DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2014.887879.
• Laponce, J. 1981. Left and right: Top: the Topography of Political Perceptions. Toronto: University of Toronto Press.
• Laursen, F. and Roederer-Rynning, C. 2017a. "Writing the Rules of 21st Century Trade: The EU and the New Bilateralism (special issue)." Journal of European Integration 39 (7).
• Laursen, F. and Roederer-Rynning, C. 2017b. "Introduction: the new EU FTAs as contentious market regulation." Journal of European Integration 39(7): 763-779, DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2017.1372430.
• Leblond, P. and Viju-Miljusevic, C. 2019. "EU trade policy in the twenty-first century: change, continuity and challenges." Journal of European Public Policy 26 (12), 1836-1846, DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2019.1678059.
• Loo, G. van der and Wessel, R. A. 2017. "The non-ratification of mixed agreements: Legal consequences and solutions" Common Market Law Review vol 54(3): 735 - 770.
• Manow, P. 2018. Die Politische Ökonomie des Populismus, Berlin: Suhrkamp Verlag.
• Mansfield, E. and Mutz, D. 2009. "Support for Free Trade: Self-Interest, Sociotropic Politics, and Out-Group Anxiety." International Organisation, 63 (3): 425-457, doi:10.1017/S0020818309090158.
• Mayda, A. M. and Rodrik, D. 2005. "Why Are Some People (And Countries) More Protectionist Than Others?", European Economic Review 49 (6): 1393-1430, doi: 10.3386/w8461.
• Meissner, K. 2016. "Democratising EU External Relations: The European Parliament's Informal Role in the SWIFT, ACTA, and TTIP Negotiations." In: European Foreign Affairs Review, vol. 21(2): 269-288.
• Meissner, K. and Rosen, G. 2021. "Exploring Interaction between National Parliaments and the European Parliament in EU Trade Policy" In: Diane Fromage and Anna Herranz-Surrallés (eds.): Executive-Legislative (Im)Balance in the European Union. Hart Publishing, 195-208. (with Guri Rosén)
• Meunier, S. and Czesana, R. 2019. "From back rooms to the street? A research agenda for explaining variation in the public salience of trade policy-making in Europe." Journal of European Public Policy 26 (12): 1847-1865, DOI:10.1080/13501763.2019.1678058.
• Milner, H. V. and Judkins, B. 2004. "Partisanship, Trade Policy, and Globalization: Is There a Left -Right Divide on Trade Policy?" International Studies Quarterly, 48 (1): 95-119.
• O'Rourke, K. H., and Sinnott, R. 2001. The determinants of individual trade policy preferences: International survey evidence. Brookings Trade Forum.
• Postnikov, E. 2020. "Normative power meets realism: EU trade policy scholarship at the turn of the decade", Journal of European Integration, 42(:6):, 889-895, DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2020.1809774.
• Puntscher Riekmann, S. 2017. "The Struggle for and against Globalisation: International Trade Agreements and the Democratic Question." In Mega-Regional Trade Agreements: CETA, TTIP, and TiSA. New Orientations for EU External Economic Relations, edited S. Griller, W. Obwexer and E. Vranes. 2017. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
• Rho, S. and Tomz, M. 2017. "Why don't trade preferences refl ect economic self-interest?" International Organisation 71 (SI): 85-108.
• Ricardo, D. 1817. On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation. 1st ed., London: John Murray.
• Rodrik, D. 2018. "Populism and the economics of globalization." Journal of International Business Policy 1 (1-2): 12-33.
• Roederer-Rynning, C. and Kallestrup, M. 2017. "National parliaments and the new contentiousness of trade." Journal of European Integration, 39 (7): 811-825, DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2017.1371710.
• Rogowski, R. 1989. Commerce and Coalitions: How Trade Aff ects Domestic Political Alignments. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
• Rose, R. 2014. "Responsible Party Government in a World of Interdependence." West European Politics 37 (2): 253-69. doi:10.1080/01402382.2014.887874.
• Rosen, G. 2019. "Proving Their Worth? The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership and the Members of the European Parliament" Politics and Governance 7 (3):266-278.
• Siles-Brügge, G. 2017. "Transatlantic investor protection as a threat to democracy: the potency and limits of an emotive frame." Cambridge Review of International Affairs 30 (5-6): 464-488, DOI: 10.1080/09557571.2018.1461805.
• Sojka, A., Díaz-Lanchas, J. and Steinberg, J. F. 2019. "Th e Politicization of Transatlantic Trade in Europe: Explaining Inconsistent Preferences regarding free trade and the TTIP." LSE 'Europe in Question" Discussion Paper Series.
• Stolper W. F. and Samuelson P. A. 1941. "Protection and Real Wages." The Review of Economic Studies 9 (1): 58-73. DOI: 10.2307/2967638.
• Swank, D. 2002. Global Capital, Political Institutions, and Policy Change in Developed Welfare States. Cambridge and NY: Cambridge University Press.
• Volkens, A. et al. 2017. The Manifesto Project Dataset - Codebook. Manifesto Project (MRG / CMP / MARPOR), Version 2017b, Berlin: WZB.
• Volkens, A.et al. 2017°. The Manifesto Data Collection. Manifesto Project (MRG / CMP / MARPOR), Version 2017, Berlin: WZB, DOI: 10.25522/manifesto.mpds.2017b.
• Young, A. R. 2017. "European trade policy in interesting times." Journal of European Integration 39(7): 909-923, DOI: 10.1080/07036337.2017.1371705.
• Young, A. R. 2019. "Two wrongs make a right? The politicization of trade policy and European trade strategy." Journal of European Public Policy 26 (12): 1883-1899, DOI:10.1080/13501763.2019.1678055.
• Zürn, M. 2004. "Global Governance and Legitimacy Problems." Government and Opposition 39 (2): 260-87, DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-7053.2004.00123.x

Identyfikatory

DOI

10.2478/ppsr-2022-0002