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15 (2017) | nr 3 | 51-62
Tytuł artykułu

20+ Years of Polish Residential Real Estate Prices - a House Price Index Proxy

Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
Information on house prices is often considered crucial when assessing developments in economy. However, in Poland for the long time house prices haven't been tracked in an organized manner. Recent developments, most notably house price indices developed by Poland's national bank and by the statistical office do not go back more than 10 years, therefore data series are relatively short compared to those of other macroeconomic data. In the paper a collection of publicly available data on Polish house prices from various sources is presented. House price index estimate is then proposed which goes back to 1995 and covers periods of housing boom and the financial crisis. The index should be treated as a proxy due to the fact that the data availability is limited and the source data are based on various, sometimes not clearly articulated, methodologies. Nevertheless this proxy index may prove useful as - to the knowledge of the author - there has been no other publicly available attempt at reconstructing the latest history of residential real-estate prices in Poland. Furthermore, some researchers used to take inadequate data, like residential construction cost, as a proxy for house prices, which may have led to wrong conclusions. The index may be further improved when new data emerge on history of house prices before 2006 and more advanced methodologies are used. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
51-62
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Gdańsk University of Technology
Bibliografia
  • Detailed data set on nominal residential property prices, Bank of International Settlements, www.bis.org/statistics/pp/pp_detailed.xlsx, accessed: 22.09.2017.
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  • ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/indicators/economic_reforms/api/data.cfm?application_name=mip&timeSeries=&group=SBA&country=&year=&format=-excel&FC=1&L=1&LY=1&x=0&v=L, accessed: 9.09.2013.
  • Favilukis J., Kohn D., Ludvigson S.C., Van Nieuwerburgh S. (2013), International capital flows and house prices: theory and evidence, in: E.L. Glaeser, T. Sinai (eds.), Housing and the Financial Crisis, National Bureau of Economic Research, University of Chicago Press.
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  • http://www.nbp.pl/home.aspx?f=/publikacje/rynek_nieruchomosci/index2.html, accessed: 22.09.2017.
  • Handbook on Residential Property Prices Indices (RPPIs) (2013), Eurostat Methodologies & Working papers, http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/3859598/5925925/KS-RA-12-022-EN.PDF, accessed: 22.09.2017.
  • Łaszek J. (2004), Sektor nieruchomości mieszkaniowych w Polsce: stan i perspektywy rozwoju, Szkoła Główna Handlowa, Warszawa.
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  • Rechnio R. (2016), The Polish experience in developing House Price Index, Meeting of the Group of Experts on Consumer Price Indices, Geneva, http://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/stats/documents/ece/ces/ge.22/2016/Session_5_Poland_The_Polish_experience_in_developing_HPI.pdf, accessed: 22.09.2017.
  • Scatigna M., Szemere R., Tsatsaronis K. (2014), Residential property price statistics across the globe, "BIS Quarterly Review", September 2014.
  • Schuermann T. (2014), Stress testing banks, "International Journal of Forecasting", Vol. 30.
  • Widłak M. (2013), The hedonic house price index for Poland - modelling on NBP BaRN data, Narodowy Bank Polski International Workshop, Zalesie Górne, https://www.nbp.pl/badania/konferencje/2013/realestateworkshop/pdf/hedonic_house_price_index_for_poland.pdf, accessed: 22.09.2017.
  • Zarzycki D. (2007), Analiza rynku wtórnego mieszkań na terenie miasta Wrocław -styczeń 2004 r. - wrzesień 2007 r., http://taksator.pl/8-ze-starej-strony/41-id49.html, accessed: 22.09.2017.
  • Żeliński M. (2007), Cena metra kwadratowego mieszkania wg GUS, http://opinieekonomiczne.blox.pl/2007/11/Cena-metra-kwadratowego-mieszkania-wg-gus.html, accessed: 22.09.2017.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171524943
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