Nowa wersja platformy, zawierająca wyłącznie zasoby pełnotekstowe, jest już dostępna.
Przejdź na https://bibliotekanauki.pl

PL EN


Preferencje help
Widoczny [Schowaj] Abstrakt
Liczba wyników
2016 | nr 1 (36) | 5-29
Tytuł artykułu

Public Debt and Interest Rate Spread in the European Union

Treść / Zawartość
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
EN
Abstrakty
EN
The goal of this paper is to assess the debt sustainability in the EU measuring the impact of public debt on the interest rate spreads. The results show that public debt has positive and significant influence on interest rate spreads but its influence is not the same for all observed groups of countries within the EU. The highest influence is in the Eurozone countries and in the group of peripheral EU countries (that are most affected by crisis: Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain). The lowest impact of public debt on interest rate spread is registered in non-Eurozone countries. Other important variables in explanation of interest rate spread are inflation differentials, FDI inflows, current account deficit and GDP growth rate.(original abstract)
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
5-29
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
  • Juraj Dobrila University of Pula
Bibliografia
  • Afonso, A., Arghyrou, M. G., Kontonikas, A., The Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yield Spreads in the EMU, Working Papers Department of Economics 2012/36, ISEG - School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, University of Lisbon, 2012.
  • Aizenman, J, Jinjarak, Y., Park D., Fundamentals and Sovereign Risk of Emerging Markets, NBER Working paper 18963, 2013.
  • Aizenman et al., What is the Risk of European Sovereign Debt Defaults? Fiscal Space, CDS and Market Pricing of Risk, "Journal of International Money and Finance", Vol. 34, pp. 37-59, 2013.
  • Alper, E., Forni, L., Public Debt in Advanced Economies and its Spillover Effects on Longterm Yields, IMF Working Papers 11/210, International Monetary Fund, 2011.
  • Arellano, M., Bover, O., Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error- Components Models, "Journal of Econometrics", 68, pp. 29-52, 1995.
  • Arellano, M., Bond, S., Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations, "Review of Economic Studies", 58, pp. 277-297, 1991.
  • Aspromourgos, T., Rees, D, White, G., Public Debt Sustainability and Alternative Theories of Interest, "Cambridge Journal of Economics", 34(3), pp. 433-447, 2010.
  • Attinasi, M.-G., Checherita, C., Nickel C., What Explains the Surge in Euro Area Sovereign Spreads During the Financial Crisis of 2007-09?, "European Central Bank Working Paper Series", No. 1131, 2009.
  • Barrios, S., Iversen, P., Lewandowska, M., Setzer, R., Determinants of Intra-eurozone Bond Spreads during the Financial Crisis, "European Economy, Economic Paper" 388, 2009.
  • Beirne, J., Fratzscher, M., The Pricing of Sovereign Risk and Contagion during the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, "Journal of International Money and Finance", Vol. 34, pp. 60-82, 2013.
  • Blundell, R., Bond, S. R., Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models, "Journal of Econometrics", 87, pp. 115-143, 1998.
  • Bond, S. R., Dynamic Panel Data Models: A Guide to Micro Data Methods and Practice, "Portuguese Economic Journal", 1, pp. 141-162, 2002.
  • Cecchetti, S., Mohanty, M., Zampolli. F., The Real Effects of Debt, BIS Working Papers, 352, Bank for International Settlements, 2011.
  • Checherita, C., Rother, P., The Impact of High and Growing Government Debt on Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation for the Euro Area, Working Paper Series, 1237, European Central Bank, 2010.
  • Choi, G.-H., Kim, M.-J., Lee, H., Assessing Sovereign Debt Strategies Under Alternative Term Structure Models, "Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies", 39(6), pp. 777-779, 2010.
  • Corsetti, G., The 'Original Sin' in the Eurozone, VoxEU, 2010.
  • Cuddington, J. C., Analyzing the Sustainability of Fiscal Deficits in Developing Countries. The World Bank: Policy Research Working Papers, 1784, available at http://econ.worldbank.org, 1996.
  • De Grauwe, P., The Governance of a Fragile Eurozone, Economic Policy, CEPS working documents, 2011.
  • Dell'Erba, S., Hausmann, R., Panizza, U., Debt Levels, Debt Composition, and Sovereign Spreads in Emerging and Advanced Economies, CID Working Paper, 263, 2013.
  • Domar, E., The Burden of the Debt and the National Income, "American Economic Review", Vol. 34, no. 4, pp. 798-827, 1944.
  • Drakšaite, A., Assessment of the Sustainability of Government Debt in a Stochastic Economy, "Intellectual Economics", Vol. 5, no. 3(11), pp. 401-415, 2011.
  • Eichengreen, B., Hausmann, R., Exchange Rates and Financial Fragility, Paper presented at the symposium New Challenges for Monetary Policy, Jackson Hole, WY, August 26-28, 1999.
  • Engen, E. M., Hubbard, R. G., Federal Government Debt and Interest Rates, NBER Working Paper No. 10681, 2004.
  • Eurostat (2014), General government gross debt annual data, http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/ tgm/table.do?tab=table&language=en&pcode=teina225 (accessed June 25, 2014)
  • Faraglia, E., Marcet, A., Oikonomou, R., The Impact of Debt Levels and Debt Maturity on Inflation, "Economic Journal", 123(566), F164-F192, 2013.
  • Frank, N., Ley, E., On the Probabilistic Approach to Fiscal Sustainability: Structural Breaks and Non Normality. IMF Staff Papers, 56(4), pp. 742-757, 2009.
  • Genberg, H., Sulatarova, A., Macroeconomic Volatility, Debt Dynamics, and Sovereign Interest Rate Spreads, "Journal of International Money and Finance", 27(1), pp. 26-39, 2008.
  • Greenlaw, D., Hamilton, J. D., Hooper, P., Mishkin, F. S., Crunch Time: Fiscal Crises and the Role of Monetary Policy, paper written for "U.S. Monetary Policy Forum", a conference sponsored by the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, held in New York, February 22, 2013.
  • Gros, D., Alcidi, C., Adjustment Difficulties and Debt Overhangs in the Eurozone Periphery, CEPS Working Documents, Brussels, 2011.
  • Gupta, Khanaya, L., Budget Deficits and Economic Activity in Asia, USA and Canada. Ed. Routdledge, 1992.
  • Holtz-Eakin, D., Estimating Vector Autoregressions with Panel Data, "Econometrica", 56, pp. 1371-1395, 1988.
  • Hsiao, C., Analysis of Panel Data, Cambridge. Cambridge University Press, 2nd edition. UK, Cambridge, 2003.
  • Ichiue, H., and Shimizu, Y., Determinants of Long-term Yields: A Panel Data Analysis of Major Countries, Working paper, Bank of Japan, 2012.
  • IMF, Global Financial Stability Report, International Monetary Fund, April 2010.
  • Kinoshita, N., Government Debt and Long-Term Interest Rates, IMF Working Paper, WP/06/63, https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2006/wp0663.pdf, 2006.
  • Krugman, P., Eggertsson, G., Debt, Deleveraging and the Liquidity Trap, No 1166, 2011 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics, 2011.
  • Krugman, P., Financing vs. Forgiving a Debt Overhang, "Journal of Development Economics", 29, pp. 253-268, 1988.
  • Kumar, M. S., Woo, J., Public Debt and Growth. IMF Working Papers 10/174 International Monetary Fund, 2010.
  • Laubach, T., New Evidence on the Interest Rate Effects of Budget Deficits and Debt, "Journal of European Economic Association", 7, pp. 858-85, 2009.
  • Neck, R., Sturm, J.-E., Sustainability of Public Debt, "Journal of Economics", 97(1), pp. 95-96, 2009.
  • Pasinetti, L., The Social Burden of High Interest Rates [in:] Arestis, P., Palma, G., Sawyer, M. (eds.), Capital Controversy in Honour of Geoff Harcourt, Vol. I. Routledge, London, 1997.
  • Poghosyan, T., Long-Run and Short-Run Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yields in Advanced Economies, IMF Working paper, no. 271, 2012.
  • Rankin, N., Roffia, B., Maximum Sustainable Government Debt in the Overlapping Generations Model. CEPR Discussion Papers 2076, 1999.
  • Reinhart, C. M., Rogoff, K. S., Debt and Growth Revisited, VoxEU.org., 2010a.
  • Reinhart, C. M., Rogoff, K. S., Growth in a Time of Debt, "American Economic Review" 100(2), pp. 573-78, 2010b.
  • Roodman, D M., How to Do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata, "Stata Journal", 9, pp. 86-136, 2009.
  • Roubini, N., Debt Sustainability: How to Assess Whether a Country is Insolvent. http://people.stern.nyu.edu/nroubini/papers/debtsustainability.pdf, 2001.
  • Snieska, V., Draksaite, A., Evaluation of Sustainability of the General Government Debt in a Small Open Economy, "Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences MCSER Publishing Rome-Italy", Vol. 4 No 9, pp. 610-618, 2013.
  • Sopek, P., The Effect of the Financial Crisis on Croatia's Primary Budget Deficit and Public Debt, "Financial Theory and Practice", 33(3), pp. 273-298, 2009.
  • Steinkamp, S., Wetermann, F., On Creditor Seniority and Sovereign Bond Prices in Europe, CESifo Working Paper, No. 3944, 2012.
  • Teica, R. A., Analysis of the Public Debt Sustainability in the Economic and Monetary Union, "International Conference Emerging Markets Queries in Finance and Business, 3, pp. 1081-1087, 2012.
  • Telatar, E., Bolatoglu, N., Telatar, F., A New Approach on Testing the Behaviour of the Government Towards Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in a Small-Open and Politically Instable Economy, "Applied Economics Letters", 11(5), 2004.
  • Uctum, M., Wickens, M., Debt and Deficit Ceilings, and Sustainability of Fiscal Policy: An Intertemporal Analysis. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 62, pp. 197-222, 2000.
  • Verbeek, M., .A Guide to Modern Econometrics. 3rd Edition. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, NJ, 2008.
  • WIIW, Handbook of Statistics: Central, East and Southeast Europe. WIIW, 2013.
  • Wooldridge, J. M., Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data; MIT Press, Cambridge, 2002.
  • Wyplosz, Ch., Debt Sustainability Assessment: The IMF Approach and Alternatives, HEI Working Paper No. 03/2007, 2007.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171443456
JavaScript jest wyłączony w Twojej przeglądarce internetowej. Włącz go, a następnie odśwież stronę, aby móc w pełni z niej korzystać.