Employment Forecasts by Occupational Groups in Poland

• Autorzy: Artur Gajdos , Edyta Żmurkow-Poteralska
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The main objective of this article is a presentation of the process of forecasting the number of employees by major, sub-major and minor occupational groups in the horizon 2012-2020. In this article were used data from Labour Force Survey in cross-section by occupational groups consistent with the International Standard Classification of Occupations ISCO-08. To forecast the number of employed by major occupational groups a multi-equation regression model, consisting of 10 equations, was used. Forecasts of the total number of employed in Poland obtained from macroeconomic model were used to predict the employment in major, submajor and minor occupational groups. (original abstract)

Słowa kluczowe

PL

Zatrudnienie; Statystyka zatrudnienia; Prognozowanie zatrudnienia

EN

Employment; Employment statistics; Employment forecasting

• Czasopismo: Polityka Społeczna
• Rocznik: 2014
• Numer: nr 2 (tematyczny)(ang) Employment Forecasts
• Strony: 14-20

Twórcy

autor

Artur Gajdos

• University of Lodz, Poland

autor

Edyta Żmurkow-Poteralska

• University of Lodz, Poland

Bibliografia

• Cieślak M., ed. (2004), Prognozowanie gospodarcze. Metody i zastosowania [Economic forecasting. Methods and applications], PWN, Warsaw.
• Gajdos A. (2013), Opracowanie założeń wdrożenia narzędzia prognozowania popytu na pracę w ujęciu globalnym [Development of guidelines for implementing forecasting tools for the demand for labour on a global basis], typescript, IPiSS, Warsaw.
• Klasyfikacja Zawodów i Specjalności na Potrzeby Rynku Pracy [Classification of Occupations for Labour Market (2010), Ministry of Labour and Social Policy, Warsaw.
• Kwiatkowski E. ed., Suchecki B. ed., Gajdos A. elab., Włodarczyk P elab. (2013), Prognoza zatrudnienia w Polsce według grup zawodów do 2020 r. [Employment forecast by occupational groups in Poland to 2020], IPiSS, Warsaw.
• Kwiatkowski E. (1998), Neoklasyczne teorie zatrudnienia [Neoclassical theories of employment], PWN, Warsaw.
• Skills supply and demand in Europe: medium-term forecast up to 2020 (2010), Publications Office of the European Union, Cedefop, Luxembourg.
• Welfe W., ed. (2007), Gospodarka oparta na wiedzy [Knowledge-based economy], Polskie Wydawnictwo Ekonomiczne, Warsaw.