Czasopismo
Tytuł artykułu
Autorzy
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
The analysis of population dynamics in large Polish cities in the period 1980-2001 is performed by means of statistics. Decomposition of time series into deterministic and stochastic components is applied to datasets (number of inhabitants). In order to deal with trends unlike each other the differential index of population dynamics (DIPD) is introduced. A spatial organization of cities revealing the great dynamics of population changes is detected. Seeking dependency of residuals is performed by means of the Ljung-Box test and the sample autocorrelation function. It is discovered that five of six cities exhibiting the high DIPD reveal dependent autoregressive residuals. The great dynamics of population changes may be driven by dependent autoregressive demographic processes. (original abstract)
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Numer
Strony
121-131
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Wroclaw University, Polish Academy of Science
Bibliografia
- Brockwell, P.J. and Davis R.A. 1996: Introduction to time series and forecasting, New York: Springer.
- Burch, T.K. 2003: Demography in a new key: A theory of population theory, Demographic Research 9, p. 263-284.
- Demographic Yearbook of Poland 1980-1989 and 1997-2001, Central Statistical Office, Poland, Warsaw.
- Górecka, S. and Kozieł, R. 2004: Procesy demograficzne w największych miastach Polski w okresie transformacji. In Słodczyk, J., editor, Przemiany demograficzne i jakość życia ludności miast, Opole, p. 27-40.
- Parysek, J.J. and Kotus J. 1995: Development patterns of Polish towns in the years 1950-1990, Geographia Polonica 66, p. 87-110.
- Parysek, J.J. and Kotus, J. 1997: Powojenny rozwój miast polskich i ich rola w procesie urbanizacji kraju, Przegląd Gegraficzny 69, p. 33-54.
- Statistical Yearbook - Demography 1990-1992, Central Statistical Office, Poland, Warsaw.
- Statistical Yearbook of Demography 1993-1996, Central Statistical Office, Poland, Warsaw.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171312425