Czasopismo
Tytuł artykułu
Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
Application of simple prescriptions of technical analysis on the Warsaw Exchange Market (GPW) has been analyzed using several stocks belonging to WIG20 group as examples. Only long positions have been considered. Three well-known technical-analysis indicators of the market have been investigated: the Donchian channels, the Relative Strength Index, and Moving Average Convergence-Divergence indicator. Optimal values of parameters of those indicators have been found by "brute force" evaluation of (linear) returns. It has been found that trading based on both Donchian channels and Relative Strength Index easily outperform the "buy and hold" strategy if supplied with optimal values of parameters. However, those optimal values are by now means universal in the sense that they depend on particular stocks, and are functions of time. The optimal management of capital in the stock market strongly depends on the time perspective of trading. Finally, it has been argued that the criticism of technical analysis which is often delivered by academic quantitative financial science is unjustified as based of false premises. (original abstract)
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
143-156
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Warsaw University of Life Sciences - SGGW, Poland
autor
- Warsaw University of Life Sciences - SGGW, Poland
- University of Social Sciences, Poland
Bibliografia
- Allen F., Karjalainen R. (1999), Using genetic algorithms to find technical trading rules, "Journal of Financial Economics", 51, pp. 245-271.
- Brock W., Lakonishok J., LeBaron B. (1992), Simple Technical Trading Rules and the Stochastic Properties of Stock Returns, "Journal of Finance", 47, pp. 1731-1764.
- Fama E.F., Blume M. (1966), Filter Rules and Stock-Market Trading, "Journal of Business", 39, pp. 226-241.
- Farlex (2012), Farlex Financial Dictionary, http://financial-dictionary. The freedictionary.com/Donchian+channel.
- Kaufman P.J. (2013), Trading Systems and Methods, Wiley, New York.
- Lo A.W., MacKinley A.C. (1988), Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test, "Review of Financial Studies", 1, pp. 41-66.
- Lo A.W., MacKinley A.C. (1999), A Non-Random Walk down Wall Street, Princeton University Press.
- Lo A.W., Mamayski H., Wang J. (2000), Foundations of Technical Analysis: Computational Algorithms, Statistical Inference, and Empirical Implementation, "Journal of Finance", 40, pp. 1705-1765.
- Malkiel B.(1981), A Random Walk Down Wall Street, Norton, New York.
- Murphy J. (1999), Technical Analysis of Financial Markets, New York Institute of Finance.
- Wilder Jr. J.W. (1978), New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems, Trend Research, New York.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000171311177