Warianty tytułu
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
W artykule podjęto próbę sporządzenia prognozy dla cząstkowych współczynników zgonów dla Polski, z wykorzystaniem stochastycznego modelu Lee-Cartera. Uzyskane prognozy wykorzystano następnie do budowy przyszłych (dynamicznych) tablic trwania życia. Przedstawiono także przykład zastosowania tego rodzaju tablic do kalkulacji wysokości świadczeń emerytalnych. (abstrakt oryginalny)
The paper presents results of stochastic mortality forecasting for Poland (i.e. forecasting of the central death rates) by means of the Lee-Carter model. The forecasts obtained in the study were then employed for building the so-called future (dynamic) life-tables. An example of applying such life-tables in actuarial calculations of future annuity benefits is studied. (original abstract)
Rocznik
Strony
367-384
Opis fizyczny
Twórcy
autor
- Uniwersytet Łódzki
Bibliografia
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Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.ekon-element-000168218839