Czasopismo
Tytuł artykułu
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Abstrakty
The aim of the paper is to analyze the recent dramatic increase in housing prices in Kragujevac, related to the opening of a multinational company facility. The main question is whether increasing house prices have been driven by market fundamentals or by speculative behaviour of the market players. We have decomposed variables influencing house prices in Kragujevac into supply and demand driven fundamentals to explore speculative ‘bubbles’ and detected the evidence of irrationally exuberant investors (constructors and buyers). The findings show a lack of rational behaviour among market players, absence of fundamentaldriven influence on real estate prices and expectancy-driven prices. The main characteristic is a strong relationship between price and rental price with no significant change in price-rent ratio.
Wydawca
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Numer
Strony
519-534
Opis fizyczny
Daty
wydano
2015-12-01
otrzymano
2015-02-10
zaakceptowano
2015-09-24
online
2016-04-15
Twórcy
autor
- Faculty of Economics, University of Kragujevac, Serbia, nmakojevic@kg.ac.rs
autor
- Faculty of Economics, University of Kragujevac, Serbia, pveselinovic@kg.ac.rs
autor
- PhD Candidate, Faculty of Economics, University of Kragujevac, Serbia, ljubina.kalinic@gmail.com
Bibliografia
- Burnside, C., M. Eichenbaum, and S. Rebelo (2011) Understanding booms and busts in housing markets, National Bureau of Economic Research.
- Black, A., P. Fraser and M. Hoesli (2006) “House prices, fundamentals and bubbles”, Journal of Business Finance & Accounting 33 (9-10), pp. 1535-1555.[Crossref]
- Blanchard, O. J. and S. Fisher (1989) Lectures on macroeconomics. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
- Case, K.E. and R. Shiller (2003) “Is there a bubble in the housing market?”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2, pp. 299-361.[Crossref]
- Cochrane, J. (2001) Asset pricing, Princeton, Princeton University Press, New Jersey.
- Flood, R. and R. Hodrick (1990) “On testing for speculative bubbles”, Journal of Economic Perspectives 4(2), pp. 85-101,[Crossref]
- Gallin, J. (2003) The long-run relationship between house prices and income: evidence from local housing markets. United States Federal Reserve Board.
- Glaeser. E. L., J. Gyourko and A. Saiz (2008) “Housing supply and housing bubbles”, J Urban Econ 64, pp. 198-217.[Crossref]
- Guiso, L., M. Haliassos and T. Jappelli (2003) “Household stockholding in Europe: where do we stand and where do we go?”, Economic Policy, 18 (36), pp. 123-170.[Crossref]
- Himmelberg, C., C. Mayer and T. Sinai (2005) “Assessing high house prices: bubbles, fundamentals and misperceptions”, The Journal of Economic Perspective, 19(4), pp. 67-92.
- Igan, D., A.N. Kabundi, Nadal-De Simone, F., M. Pinheiro and N. T., Tamirisa (2011) „Housing, credit and real activity cycles: characteristics and comovement”, Journal of Housing Economics 20 (3), pp. 210-231.[Crossref][WoS]
- International Monetary Fund (2003) When bubbles burst, World Econ Outlook, Chapter 2.
- Mayer, C. (2011) “Housing bubbles: a survey”, Ann Rev Econ 3, pp. 559-577.[Crossref]
- Mayer, C., K. Pence and S. M. Sherlund (2008) The rise in mortgage defaults, In: FRB Finance and Economics Discussion Series No. 59.
- Mikhed, V. and P. Zemcik (2009) “Do house prices reflect fundamentals? Aggregate and panel data evidence”, Journal of Housing Economics, 18(2), pp. 140-149.[Crossref][WoS]
- Quigley, J. M. (1999) “Real estate prices and economic cycles”, International Real Estate Review, 2(1), pp. 1-20.
- Roche, M. J. (2001) “The rise in house prices in Dublin: bubble, fad or just fundamentals”, Economic Modelling, 18, pp. 281-295.[Crossref]
- Shen, Y., E. C. M. Hui and H. Liu (2005) “Housing price bubbles in Beijing and Shanghai”, Management Decision, 43(4), pp. 611.[Crossref]
- Shiller, R. J. (2000) Irrational Exuberance, Princeton University Press.
- Shiller, R. J. (2005) Irrational Exuberance, 2nd Edition, Princeton University Press.
- Stiglitz, J. (1990) “Symposium on bubbles”, The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(2), pp. 13-18.[Crossref]
- Šošić, I., (2006) Primenjena statistika, Školska knjiga, Zagreb. Narodna banka Srbije, (2014) http://www.nbs.rs/static/nbs_site/gen/latinica/90/dinarizacija/din_06_14.pdf
- Republički zavod za statistiku, (2014) www.stat.gov.rs/
- World Bank Data on Real interest rate (%) available on: www.data.worldbank.org/indicator/FR.INR.DPST
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.doi-10_1515_ethemes-2015-0030