Warianty tytułu
TESTIRANJE POVEZANOSTI DRŽAVNIH PRIHODA I DRŽAVNIH RASHODA U SRBIJI
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
This paper studies the causal relationship between government revenue and government expenditure in Serbia, using quarterly data for the 2003 (Q1) - 2012 (Q4) period. In addition to the theoretical arguments regarding this causality, extensive empirical literature is also available. The problem of the fiscal deficit has been a significant burden for the economic system of Serbia for a number of years. Therefore, the relationship between government revenue and government expenditure represents an important issue that should be studied empirically in order to draw certain conclusions. In this paper, the Toda-Yamamoto long-run non-causality method is used to determine whether the causal relationship between government revenue and government expenditure exists in Serbia. The application of this method confirms the existence of a unidirectional (one-way) causality running from government expenditure to government revenue, which means that government expenditure Granger-causes government revenue.
Wydawca
Czasopismo
Rocznik
Tom
Numer
Strony
127-138
Opis fizyczny
Daty
wydano
2014-06-01
otrzymano
2014-01-20
zaakceptowano
2014-06-10
online
2015-03-25
Twórcy
autor
- University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, Serbia, slukovic@kg.ac.rs
autor
- University of Kragujevac, Faculty of Economics, Serbia, mgrbic@kg.ac.rs
Bibliografia
- Ali, R., Shah, M. (2012) “The Causal Relationship Between Governement Expenditure and Revenue in Pakistan”, Interdisciplinary Journal of Contemporary Research in Business, 3(12): 323-329
- Arsić, M. (2010) Fiskalna konsolidacija i reforma javnog sektora, Poreska politika u Srbiji-Pogled unapred, USAID Sega Projekat, pp. 9-21
- Aziz, A. M. et al. (2000) “Testing for Causality Between Taxation and Government Spending: An Application of Toda-Yamamoto Approach“, Pertanika Journal of Social Science and Humanities, 8(1): 45-50
- Dickey, D. A., Fuller, W. A. (1981) “Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root”, Econometrica, 49 (4): 1057–1072[Crossref]
- Eita, J. H., Mbazima, D. (2008), “The Causal Relationship Between Government Revenue and Expenditure in Namibia”, Munich Personal RePEc Archive, Paper No. 9154
- Elyasi, Y., Rahimi, M. (2011) “The Causality between Government Revenue and Government Expenditure in Iran”, International Journal of Economic Sciences and Applied Research, 5(1): 129-145
- Fasano, U., Wang, Q. (2002) “Testing the Relationship Between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence form GCC Countries”, IMF Working Paper, WP/02/201
- Fiscal Council of the Republic of Serbia (2012) Proposed Fiscal Consolidation Measures 2012-2016, Belgrade, available at
- Granger, C. W. J. (1969) “Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods”, Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438[Crossref]
- Hamdi, H., Sbia, R. (2013) “Re-Examining Government Revenues, Government Spending and Economic Growth in GCC Countries”, The Journal of Apllied Business Research, 29 (3): 737-742
- Konukcu-Onal, D., Tosun, A.N. (2008) Government Revenue-Expenditure Nexus: Evidence from Several Transitional Economies, Ekonomski Anali, 53 (178-179): 145-156
- Petanlar, S.E., Sadeghi, S. (2012) “Relationship Between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence From Oil Exporting Countries”, International Journal of Economics and Management Engineeering, 2 (2): 95-97
- Rambaldi, A. N., Doran, H. E. (1996) “Testing for Granger Non-Causality in Cointegrated Systems Made Easy”, Working Paper in Econometrics and Applied Statistics, No. 88, University of New England
- Sriyana, J. (2009) “A Causality Relationship Between Tax Revenue and Government Expenditure in Indonesia”, Economic Journal of Emerging Markets, 1(2): 93-101
- Subhani, M. I. et al. (2012) “An Investigation of Granger Causality Between Tax Revenues and Government Expenditures”, European Journal of Scientific Research, 68 (3): 340-344
- Taha, R., Loganathan, N. (2008) “Causality Between Tax Revenue and Government Spending in Malaysia”, The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 2 (2): 63-73
- Toda, H. Y., Yamamoto, T. (1995) “Statistical inferences in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes”, Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2): 225-250[Crossref]
- Young, A. (2009) “Tax-Spend or Fiscal Illusion”, CATO Journal, 29 (3): 469-485
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.doi-10_1515_ethemes-2014-0009