HOW TO ANTICIPATE RECESSION VIA TRANSPORT INDICES

• Autorzy: Jakubik Petr , Kerimkhulle Seyit , Teleuova Saida
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

This article focuses on transport industry development as a leading economic indicator. We investigate the dynamics of growth in the Cass Freight Index: Expenditures and Shipments, capturing the US transport industry, and apply a system of logistic models of population growth and competition to transport industry indices. We show that the constructed structure identifies the signs of a US economic downturn/recession well in advance.

Słowa kluczowe

EN

CASS FREIGHT INDEX; EXPENDITURES; SHIPMENTS; LOGISTIC GROWTH; ECONOMIC GROWTH

• Wydawca: Institute of Slovak and World Economics and Institute for Forecasting, Slovak Academy of Sciences
• Czasopismo: Ekonomický časopis (Journal of Economics)
• Rocznik: 2017
• Tom: 65
• Numer: 10
• Strony: 972 – 990

Twórcy

autor

Jakubik Petr

• European Insurance and Occupational Pensions Authority (EIOPA), Westhafen-platz 1, 60327 Frankfurt am Main, Germany,

autor

Kerimkhulle Seyit

autor

Teleuova Saida