Warianty tytułu
System wspomagania decyzji oparty na LCI – czesci analizy LCA dla studium przypadku gospodarki stałymi odpadami komunalnymi
Języki publikacji
Abstrakty
The LCIs for pyrolysis method was based on the pyrolysis facility designs for City of Konin, in Poland. Two different scenarios of the economic feasibility were studied for the municipal solid waste process via incineration based on the pyrolysis. First scenario used the American technology of the pyrolysis-based process, and the other the Australian pyrolysis process equipment. The economic analysis methods used to study the operational total costs of the actually, and new equipments, was discounted cash flow rate of return (IRR) and net present value (NPV) of the new and actually investments. In this paper, the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation method was used for the sensitivity analysis. The Monte Carlo sampling was done using an Excel spreadsheet modified to develop scenarios for inputs given the probability distributions, means values, etc. and Crystal BallŽ, a software package offered by Decisionnering, generates random numbers for a probability distribution over the entire range of possible values, based on the assumption variables.
W artykule omówiono szczegółowo wiodąca w tej grupie normę ISO 14041 - Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) użyta do oceny dwóch scenariuszy projektu inwestycji Zakładu Utylizacji Termicznej Odpadów metoda pirolizy oparta na technologii australijskiej oraz amerykańskiej, stosując metodę zdyskontowanych sald przepływów NPV (net present value) oraz wewnętrznej stopy zwrotu IRR (internal rate of return). Dane do analizy wzięto z ofert dla projektu Zakładu Utylizacji Termicznej Odpadów dla miasta Konina.
Słowa kluczowe
Rocznik
Tom
Strony
13-32
Opis fizyczny
Bibliogr. 16 poz.
Twórcy
autor
- AGH, 30-067 Kraków, POLAND ul. Gramatyka 10 tel. (012) 617-43-26, bbieda@wzn6.zarz.agh.edu.pl
Bibliografia
- [1] 2004 Ecobilan, http://www.ecobilan.com/uk_lca04.php.
- [2] EPA/600/R-92/245, US Environmental Protection Agency, Cincinnati, USA.
- [3] Evans, J.R., Olson, D.L., 1998. Introduction in Simulation and Risk Analysis. Prentice Hall, New Jersey, USA.
- [4] Fress N., Petersen E. H., Olgaard H., 2003. Reducing Uncertainty in LCI. Environmental Project No. 862 2003, Danish Environmental Protection Agency.
- [5] Goldman L.I. ,2002. Crystal Ball Professional Introductory Tutorial. Proceedings of the 2002 Winter Simulation Conference, p. 1543. Decisioneering, Inc. Denver, CO, U.S.A.
- [6] Hauschild M., 2005. Assessing Evironmental Impacts in a LIFE_CYCLE Perpective. Environmental Science & Technology February 15, 2005 International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD). http://www.bsdglobal.com/tools/systems_lca.asp.
- [7] Klopffer, W., Hutzinger, O. (Eds.), 1997. Life Cycle Assessment: State–of –the Art and research priorities, results of LCANET, a Concerted Action in the Environment and Climate Programme (DGXII), Volume 1, LCA Documents, Eco-Informa Press.
- [8] Koller, G. 1999. Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry - A Practical Guide. CRC Press LLC, Boca Raton, London, New York, Washington, D.C., USA.
- [9] Kulczycka J (Eds), 2001. Ekologiczna ocena cyklu życia (LCA) nowa technika zarzadzania środowiskowego. Wydawnictwo Instytutu Gospodarki Surowcami Mineralnymi i Energia PAN, Kraków, Poland.
- [10] Norris G. The Many Dimensions of Uncertainty Analysis in LCA, 2005. http://www.athenasmi.ca/papers/down_papers/UncertaintyAnalysis_in_LCA.pdf.
- [11] Office of Management and Budget (OMB) - The Executive Office of the President, 2003. Circular A-4, Regulatory Analysis. http://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars/a004/a-4.html.
- [12] PRé Consultants, 2005, Plotterweg 12, 3821 BB Amersfoort, The Netherlands, http://www.pre.nl/life_cycle_assessment/life_cycle_inventory.htm
- [13] Spath, P.L., Lane J.M., Mann, M.K., Armos, W.A., 2000. Update of Hydrogen from Biomass-Determination of the Delivered Cost of Hydrogen. National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Operated for the U.S. Dep. of Energy by Midwest Research Institute, Battelle, Bechtel, April, Golden, Colorado, USA.
- [14] Vigon, B.W., Tolle, D.A., Cornaby, B.W., Latham, H.C., Harrison, C.L., Boguski, T.L., Hunt, R.G., Sellers, J.D.,1993. Life –cycle assessment: Inventory guidelines and principles.
- [15] Wajs, W., Bieda, B., Tadeusiewicz, R., 2000. Project Cost Analysis for Niepołomice Municipal Solid Waste using the Monte Carlo Simulation. Int. Confrernce RISK ANALYSIS 2000, Bologna, Italy. Wessex Institute of Technology Publishers, pp. 225- 234.
- [16] Wajs, W., Bieda, B., Tadeusiewicz, R., 2000. Linear Programming And Risk Analysis Methods for Municipal Solid Waste Decision Support System, Int. Conference IFAC MMM2001, Tokyo, Japan.
Typ dokumentu
Bibliografia
Identyfikatory
Identyfikator YADDA
bwmeta1.element.baztech-article-BSL9-0055-0007