The application of multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) in risk management of civil and environmental engineering projects

• Autorzy: Reichelt, B. , Peldschus, F.
• Języki publikacji: EN

Abstrakty

EN

The contribution deals with aspects of the consultation with experts in risk management of projects. A problem of the consultation with internal and external experts is the influence of the personality, of personal interests and the mutual influence with regard to the evaluation of risks, as well as the individual attitude towards the project and towards the risks in general. The solution of this problem is very important, because estimated probability of risks and expected consequences may entail cost-intensive measures, such as contingency reserve allocations and risk networks. If risks are evaluated inaccurately, crisis management or project cancellation may be the only options left. The article starts with an overview of the particular problems of risk management. The authors continue by presenting a possible process which uses MCDA to increase objectivity, i.e. to reduce subjective influence on risk evaluation and risk evaluation based on the consultation with experts. The methodical approach allows an application to similar problems for different experts and decision-makers.

Słowa kluczowe

PL

zarządzanie ryzykiem; teoria gier

EN

risk management; multi-criteria analysis; fuzzy sets; game theory

• Czasopismo: Foundations of Civil and Environmental Engineering
• Rocznik: 2005
• Tom: No. 6
• Strony: 159-173
• Opis fizyczny: Bibliogr. 6 poz.

Twórcy

autor

Reichelt, B.

• University of Applied Sciences Leipzig, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Construction Management Group. Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 132, D-04277 Leipzig,

autor

Peldschus, F.

• University of Applied Sciences Leipzig, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Construction Management Group. Karl-Liebknecht-Str. 132, D-04227 Leipzig,

Bibliografia

• 1. RKW - Rationalisierungs-Kuratorium der Deutschen Wuirtschaft e.V. (editor),: Projektmanagement Fachmann, RKW-Verlag Eschborn, 1999
• 2. Obermeier, O-P.: Die Kunst der Risikokommunikation: über Risiko, Kommunikation und Themenmanagement, Gerling-Akad.-Verlag München, 1999
• 3. Zavadskas, E.; Peldschus, F.; Kaklauskas, A.: Multiple Criteria Evaluation of Projects in Construction. Vilnius Technika 1994
• 4. Peldschus, F.: Zur Anwendung der Theorie der Spiele für Aufgaben der Bautechnologie, Dissertation B, TH Leipzig 1986.
• 5. Peldschus, F.: Fuzzy Methoden im Baubetriebswesen. Leipzig University of Applied Sciences, Beiträge zu Lehre und Forschung, Sonderheft 1996, Seite 21-25.
• 6. Omran, J.: Entscheidungsunterstützende Methoden in der bautechnologischen Vorbereitung unter Berücksichtigung von unscharfen Spielen - Fuzzy Games, Technische Hochschule Leipzig, Dissertation A, 1988.