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2 Annals of Computer Science and Information Systems

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Shallow, Deep, Ensemble models for Network Device Workload Forecasting

Liu Cenru

Annals of Computer Science and Information Systems

2020

Vol. 21

101--104

Reliable prediction of workload-related characteristics of monitored devices is important and helpful for management of infrastructure capacity. This paper presents 3 machine learning models (shallow, deep, ensemble) with different complexity for network device workload forecasting. The performance of these models have been compared using the data provided in FedCSIS'20 Challenge. The R2 scores achieved from the cascade Support Vector Regression (SVR) based shallow model, Long short-term memory (LSTM) based deep model, and hierarchical linear weighted ensemble model are 0.2506, 0.2831, and 0.3059, respectively, and was ranked 3rd place in the preliminary stage of the challenges.

Training subset selection for support vector regression

Liu Cenru, Cen Jiahao

Annals of Computer Science and Information Systems

2019

Vol. 18

11--14

As more and more data are available, training a machine learning model can be extremely intractable, especially for complex models like Support Vector Regression (SVR) train- ing of which requires solving a large quadratic programming optimization problem. Selecting a small data subset that can effectively represent the characteristic features of training data and preserve their distribution is an efficient way to solve this problem. This paper proposes a systematic approach to select the best representative data for SVR training. The distribution of both predictor and response variables are preserved in the selected subset via a 2-layer data clustering strategy. A 2-layer step-wise greedy algorithm is introduced to select best data points for constructing a reduced training set. The proposed method has been applied for predicting deck's win rates in the Clash Royale Challenge, in which 10 subsets containing hundreds of data examples were selected from 100k for training 10 SVR models to maximize their prediction performance evaluated using R-squared metric. Our final submission having a R2 score of 0.225682 won the 3rd place among over 1200 solutions submitted by 115 teams.