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Spatial Analysis of Environmental Factors for Modeling Plant Hopper Potential Risk Prediction

Minh Vo Quang, Quang Truong Chi, Hieu Pham Thi Minh

Ecological Engineering & Environmental Technology

2024

Vol. 25, iss. 11

110--117

Agricultural insect pests reduce crop productivity, causing a gap between global food demand and production. Early detection and early response can improve pest control efficiency. The study aimed to investigate the spatial correlations between brown plant hopper (BPH) occurrence and affected factors using field data collection in Can Tho City, Vietnam. The data on cultivation practices and meteorological conditions at 120 weekly monitoring sites at Can Tho city during the rice cropping season of 2016–2017 were collected to find the correlation between the occurrence frequency and density of BPH. Besides, GIS and spatial interpolation were applied to assess the current status of harmful situations, predict the impact trends of crop pests or diseases in space and time to serve a community’s needs, as well as forecast plant protection. As a result, in the 2nd rice cropping stage, the population of brown planthoppers was found to be highly significantly influenced by the following factors: (1) planthopper age, (2) natural enemy density, (3) air temperature, (4) field water level, and (5) number of leaves, which is highly positively correlated with brown hopper density. There is a lower correlation between leaf color code (6) and air humidity (7) and a negative correlation between pesticides used (8). The variables of rice leaf color code (6) and air humidity (7) correlate with the BPH population, although the field water level (4) and leaf count (5) do not correlate for the whole crop. It can be used to predict the changing trend of BPH in rice fields. However, the factors influencing the brown planthopper would determine the accuracy of the prognosis.