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Study on Shipping Safety Strategy Based on Accident Forecast Model

Meng X.Y., Bai Y. M., Han X. J.

TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation

2010

Vol. 4, no. 3

261--264

The factors which would cause shipping accidents are analyzed in detail and a model which can forecast shipping accidents is studied in this paper. During navigation, all the factors are integrated and calcu-lated in this model which then estimate and speculate on the risk degree of collision for the own ship. Finally, the risk level and the possibility of shipping accidents can be forecasted in real-time. The proposed accident forecast model can estimate the possibility of collision with other ships or objects in a specific domain. Meanwhile, the external environment such as weather, stream, etc. is taken into account in the model. Be-sides, the validity of navigators’ orders can also be evaluated in the model which consequently can forecast different kinds of shipping accidents effectively in that most of the factors which cause shipping accidents have been involved in the proposed model. With the accident forecast model, the shipping safety would be improved greatly. A practical example demonstrates the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed strate-gy.

Study on Ships Safety Control System

Han X. J., Meng X. Y., Wang Z. W.

TransNav : International Journal on Marine Navigation and Safety of Sea Transportation

2009

Vol. 3, no. 1

19--22

The proportion of main reasons of ships accidents to the whole reasons is discussed in the paper. Among these reasons, human factors are in the majority. So a method to prevent wrong orders sent by a navigator is laid emphasis on. On the basis of this, a ships safety control system is studied. The construction and control principle of the ships safety control system, as well as control strategy, implementation method and key technology are elaborated in the paper.