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1
Content available Oil transport in port. Part 3. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process and operation process
Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2018
|
Vol. 9, No. 2
43--64
EN
The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation and climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process and the climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis and optimisation of critical infrastructure operation process impacted by climateweather change is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
2
Content available Oil transport in port. Part 2. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by the climate-weather change process
Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2018
|
Vol. 9, No. 2
29--42
EN
The paper is concerned with the application of the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its climate-weather change impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure impacted by climate-weather change process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
3
Content available Oil transport in port. Part 1. Port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience impacted by its operation process
Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2018
|
Vol. 9, No. 2
11--28
EN
The paper is concerned with the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction with considering its operation process impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety and resilience is proposed and the safety and resilience indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure impacted by its operation process. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety and resilience prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure operation process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
4
Content available Oil transport in port. Part 0. Port oil piping transportation system safety without outside impacts
Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2018
|
Vol. 9, No. 2
1--10
EN
The paper is concerned with the model of critical infrastructure safety prediction without considering outside impacts. The general approach to the prediction of critical infrastructure safety is proposed and the safety indicators are defined for a critical infrastructure free of any outside impacts. Moreover, there is presented the model application for port oil piping transportation system safety prediction. Further, the cost analysis of critical infrastructure operation process is proposed and applied to the considered piping system.
5
Content available GMU Safety Interactive Platform Organization and Possibility of its Applications
Kuligowska E., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2018
|
Vol. 9, No. 2
99--114
EN
The organization and a possibility of the Gdynia Maritime University (GMU) Safety Interactive Platform applications are described. The GMU Platform structure and main functions of its particular parts are presented. Moreover, the future plans about the usage and extension of the GMU Platform are shown.
6
Content available remote System safety model related to climate-weather change process application to port and maritime transport
Torbicki M.
Journal of KONBiN
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2018
|
No. 46
21--34
EN
The conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states and the unconditional safety functions of the port oil piping transportation system area and the maritime ferry, the mean values and the variances of those systems unconditional lifetimes and other safety indicators are determined. Those safety indicators, considering impact of the climate-weather change process, are evaluated for the piping system operating at under water Baltic sea area and for the maritime ferry operating at Gdynia Port area.
PL
Warunkowe funkcje bezpieczeństwa w poszczególnych stanach klimatyczno-pogodowych i bezwarunkowe funkcje bezpieczeństwa portowego system transport ropy oraz technicznego systemu promu morskiego, wartości średnie i wariancje bezwarunkowego czasu życia tych systemów oraz inne wskaźniki bezpieczeństwa są wyznaczone. Te wskaźniki bezpieczeństwa, rozważając wpływ procesu zmian klimatyczno-pogodowych, są oszacowane dla portowego system transportu ropy w obszarze operacyjnym pod wodami Bałtyku oraz dla technicznego systemu promu morskiego, którego obszarem operacyjnym jest port w Gdyni.
7
Content available Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather Hazards
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2017
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Vol. 8, No. 4
21--32
EN
In the paper a general safety analytical model of complex technical system related to the climateweather change process in its operating area is defined. First, the system operation at climate-weather variable conditions is given. Additionally, the semi-Markov approach is used. Further, the safety model of the multistate system at climate-weather variable conditions is introduced. The notions of the conditional safety functions at the climate-weather particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions are presented. The other safety indices like mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are defined.
8
Content available Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process Including Operating Environment Threat and Climate-Weather Change Process Including Extreme Weather
Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 4
49--66
EN
The paper presents the general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process including its operating environment threats related to climate-weather change process, The system operation process including environment threats under influence of climate-weather variable conditions is defined. Moreover, the safety model of multistate systems at variable conditions related to operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards is proposed. The conditional safety functions at the operation process including operating environment threats and related to climate-weather change process particular states, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions and other, practically significant, critical infrastructure safety indices are defined. Furthermore, the same safety indicators are defined for exponential systems.
9
Content available Integrated Impact Model on Critical Infrastructure Safety Related to Its Operation Process and Climate-Weather Change Process
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
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2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 4
33--48
EN
The main aim of the paper is to define the operation and climate change influence on the safety of a critical infrastructure considered as a complex system in its operating environment. As the result, a general safety analytical model of a complex technical system under the influence of the operation process related to climateweather change process is proposed. Further, the conditional safety functions at the operation process related to climate-weather change process, the unconditional safety function and the risk function of the complex system at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions are defined. Moreover, the mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing of the critical infrastructure and its components and the coefficients of the operation and climate-weather impact on the critical infrastructure and its components intensities of ageing are proposed as the other significant safety indices for any critical infrastructure.
10
Content available Identification methods and procedures of climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
85--106
EN
There are presented the methods of identification of the climate-weather change process. These are the methods and procedures for estimating the unknown basic parameters of the climate-weather change process semi-Markov model and identifying the distributions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states.
11
Content available Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weathers hazards
Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
121--128
EN
The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.
12
Content available Identification and prediction of port oil piping transportation system operation process related to climate-weather change
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
113--120
EN
The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three different processes for the corresponding piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the piping operation process and the piping operating area climate-weather change processes, there are determined the unknown parameters of those processes. Namely, there are determined the probabilities of the processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the transitions between the states and the mean values of the processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process related to climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
13
Content available Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for port oil piping transportation system operating area
Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
107--112
EN
The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system operating area. For the considered piping operating area, there are distinguished three different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climate-weather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.
14
Content available Critical infrastructure operation process related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazard
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
25--40
EN
The operation process of the critical infrastructure is considered and its operation states are introduced. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the critical infrastructure operation process. The semi-Markov process is used to construct a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area.
15
Content available Critical infrastructure operating area climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2017
|
Vol. 8, No. 2
15--24
EN
The climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are introduced. A semi-Markov approach is used to construct a general probabilistic model of this process by defining its basic parameters. Further, the procedure of the climate-weather change process characteristics prediction is proposed.
16
Content available remote Model of system safety related to climate-weather change process
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of KONBiN
|
2017
|
No. 43
241--248
EN
The article is devoted to the climate-weather change impact on the critical infrastructure safety. A general safety analytical model of the technical system related to the climate-weather change process in its operating area is proposed. It is the integrated model of the complex technical system safety, linking its multistate safety model and the model of the climate-weather change process at its operating area. The conditional safety functions at the climate weather particular states and the unconditional safety function of the complex system at changing in time climate-weather conditions, the mean value and the variance of the system unconditional lifetime and other safety indicators are defined in general for any critical infrastructure.
PL
Artykuł jest poświęcony wpływowi zmian pogodowo-klimatycznych na bezpieczeństwo infrastruktur krytycznych. Zaproponowano ogólny analityczny model bezpieczeństwa złożonego systemu technicznego związanego z procesem zmian klimatycznych, który oddziałuje na jego obszar operacyjny. Jest to zintegrowany model bezpieczeństwa systemu technicznego, który łączy wielostanowy model bezpieczeństwa i model procesu zmian klimatyczno-pogodowych w obszarze działania systemu. Warunkowe funkcje bezpieczeństwa w poszczególnych stanach klimatyczno-pogodowych i bezwarunkowa funkcji bezpieczeństwa systemu przy zmieniających się w czasie warunkach klimatyczno-pogodowych, wartość średnia i wariancja bezwarunkowego czasu życia systemu oraz inne wskaźniki bezpieczeństwa są zdefiniowane dla dowolnej infrastruktury krytycznej.
17
Content available Port oil piping transportation critical infrastructure assets and interconnections
Drzazga M., Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2016
|
Vol. 7, No. 1
37--42
EN
This article aims to analyze the problem of the port oil piping transportation critical infrastructure assets and their interconnections identification. As a result, there are distinguished direct assets, auxiliary assets, flow of people, goods and services, accessibility and capacity of the port oil piping transportation critical infrastructure. Moreover, the interconnections and interdependencies of this critical infrastructure are fixed and described.
18
Content available Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for maritime ferry
Jakusik E., Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2016
|
Vol. 7, No. 3
41--46
EN
The climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at Port Gdynia and at Baltic Sea open waters between Gdynia bay and Karlskrona bay is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is defined and used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the maritime ferry operating at considered areas.
19
Content available Modelling climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards for port oil piping transportation system
Jakusik E., Kołowrocki K., Kuligowska E., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2016
|
Vol. 7, No. 3
31--40
EN
The climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area is considered and its states are defined. Further, the semi-Markov process is used to create a general probabilistic model of the climate-weather change process for the critical infrastructure operating area. To construct this model the vector of probabilities of the climate-weather change process staying at the initials climate-weather states, the matrix of probabilities of the climate-weather change process transitions between the climate-weather states, the matrix of conditional distribution functions and the matrix of conditional density functions of the climate-weather change process conditional sojourn times at the climate-weather states are defined. Preliminary applications of the proposed model to the climate-weather change process for the port oil transportation system operation area are presented.
20
Content available Identification of climate related hazards at the Baltic Sea area and their critical / extreme event parameters’ exposure for port oil piping transportation critical infrastructure
Kołowrocki K., Soszyńska-Budny J., Torbicki M.
Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association
|
2016
|
Vol. 7, No. 1
127--132
EN
In the paper, the critical infrastructure operation process is defined and its main parameters are fixed. Next, a general model of operation process of critical infrastructure network is defined and its parameters are described. A special case of the general when its component critical infrastructures are independent model is considered and applied to the Baltic Electric Cable Critical Infrastructure Network.
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