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Prediction of coalbed methane content based on seismic identification of key geological parameters: a case in a study area, Southern Qinshui Basin

Liu Jing, Chang Suoliang, Zhang Sheng, Li Yanrong, Hao Yaju, He Guoxian, He You, Liu Bo

Acta Geophysica

2023

Vol. 71, no. 6

2645--2662

The coalbed methane content (CMC) is an important parameter to evaluate the degree of coalbed methane enrichment, and also an important reservoir parameter to calculate coalbed methane resources, productivity prediction and reservoir simulation. Accurately identifying the distribution of CMC is crucial to the exploration of CBM. In this study, we developed a prediction method for the CMC distribution via seismic techniques identification of key geological parameters such as structure, coal thickness and sedimentation. Firstly, the geological factors that control the generation and preservation of CBM in the study area are quantitatively characterized by using five parameters: surface (X1), residual (X2), dip (X3), coal thickness (X4) and the ratio of sand to mud (X5). Secondly, the geological parameters are extracted by seismic structure interpretation and inversion prediction technology. Thirdly, the key geological parameters of CMC are screened out by grey correlation analysis. Finally, the functional relationship of CMC and the key geological parameters is established to predict the CMC distribution. The method is applied to the CMC distribution prediction of two coal seams of a study area in the southern Qinshui Basin, China. Results show that different coal seams differ in key geological parameters of CMC, resulting in various CMC distribution laws. The CMC prediction method based on the key geological factors can effectively delineate the CBM enrichment area in the study area, providing important reference for the CBM exploration and development.

Integrated seismic–geological prediction of tectonic coal via main controlling factors

Liu Jing, Chang Suoliang, Zhang Sheng, Li Yanrong, Chen Qiang

Acta Geophysica

2022

Vol. 70, no 1

173--190

Tectonic coal in coal seams not only seriously restricts the development of coalbed methane (CBM), but also easily forms coal and gas outburst risk areas. Therefore, it is of great significance to effectively predict the tectonic coal in coal seams under the development scale. Currently, the prediction methods of tectonic coal include geological prediction and geophysical prediction. Due to the large scale of geological analysis and the low identifiability of geophysical response of thin coal seam, these two methods are difficult to meet the prediction requirements of tectonic coal in the development process. Therefore, this paper proposes a new method for predicting tectonic coal based on seismic–geological integrated analysis of main controlling fac tors. Firstly, the control factors of tectonic coal and their quantitative characterization are determined by geological analysis. Then, the characterization parameters of control factors are obtained by various seismic technologies. Finally, the main control factors are screened by grey correlation analysis, and the prediction model of tectonic coal distribution is established by using the main control factors, and applied in the Qinshui Basin. The results show that the structure, surrounding rock lithology and coal thickness are three kinds of geological factors controlling the development of tectonic coal and the control weight of each factor is different. Structure plays the most important role in controlling the development of tectonic coal, followed by coal thickness and surrounding rock lithology. The prediction error of two verification wells is less than 2%, which indicates that the method can provide effective guidance for coal structure evaluation in the process of CBM development and coal mining.