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Forecasting the territorial-spatial development of the system of children's medical complexes in Ukraine

Bulakh Irina

Architecture Civil Engineering Environment

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2021

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Vol. 14, no. 3

5--15

EN

The forecast development prediction in time-space of the urban system of pediatric treatment facilities of Ukraine is given at the national-territorial level, based on three complementary information sources for the future: the author's structure of the urban system of healthcare, its components, and promising types of medical institutions; retrospective analysis and pat terns of organization and development of the urban system of medical institutions in the leading countries of the world, which indicate the general direction of extrapolation of systems; projected population of Ukraine (optimistic, optimal and pessimistic options), which are obtained through many years of statistical research. The paper presents the results of modeling, which demonstrate the forecast scenarios for the system development of pediatric treatment facilities at the national level of the urban network of primary care facilities and hospital networks. The model’s scenarios contain time prospects of the forecast for 2030, 2040, 2050, 2060, and 2100. The probable nonlinear deviations characteristic of the space-time development of the open system and many internal and external probable points of system bifurcations are considered. The research should be challenging and effective for international scientists who study the range of issues of the urban and spatial development of urban systems, their forecast models, and deployment scenarios. The study is also valuable for countries that face the problems of stable depopulation, have an ineffective and cumbersome healthcare system, and are in the process of looking for ways to reform the medical system in an urban planning context.

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On the dual nature of urban planning system and its complexity

Hoblyk A., Suprun P.

Przestrzeń i Forma

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2016

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nr 27

111--116

EN

This article presents an analysis of scientific ideas of the followers of the Complexity Theories of Cities and representatives of the Ukrainian urban planning school pertaining to the structure of the urban planning system, its nature and complexity. The dual nature of the urban planning system is explained on the examples using I. Newton’s analog method.

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Newtonian analog method in modeling the effects of urban planning self-organization

Hoblyk A.

Przestrzeń i Forma

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2015

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nr 24/2

67--76

PL

Artykuł rozpatruje osobliwości związane z aplikacją analogowej metody Newtona w matematycznym modelowaniu efektu samoorganizacji w planowaniu przestrzennym. Prezentuje również analizę kompleksu produkcyjno-usługowego „Rynok Pivdennyy” („Rynek Południowy”) w Lwowie bazującą na technicznej analogii.

EN

The article deals with the peculiarities of application of Newtonian analog method in the problems of mathematical modeling of the urban planning project self-organization effect. It also presents analysis of the commercial-production complex 'Rynok Pivdennyy' ('Southern Market') development in the city of Lviv based on its technical analog.

4

Transformation of urban space: tasks and methods of study

Hoblyk A.

Przestrzeń i Forma

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2013

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nr 20

273--286

EN

The article deals with the problem of study of transformation of urban space using the method of potential theory. The proposed method opens new opportunities for resolving the following tasks: quantitative description of the level of organization of urban planning system; modeling of synergetic effects and processes of transformation of urban planning system taking into account mutual influence of its elements; solving optimization problems of reforming urban space to satisfy demands of population.

PL

Artykuł porusza kwestie problematyki badań transformacji przestrzeni urbanistycznej z użyciem metody teorii potencjałów. Proponowana metoda otwiera nowe możliwości dla rozwiązywania następujących zagadnień: ilościowy opis poziomu organizacji systemu planowania przestrzennego; modelowania synergicznych efektów i procesów transformacji przestrzeni urbanistycznej z uwzględnieniem wzajemnej zależności jej elementów; rozwiązywanie problemów optymalizacji przekształceń przestrzeni urbanistycznej w celu zaspakajania potrzeb populacji.