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EN
Shoreline changes have become a serious problem in all coastal areas worldwide. This study aimed to detect shoreline changes and analyze the shoreline change rate caused by abrasion and accretion in the coastal area of Supiori Regency, Indonesia. Landsat 8/9 imagery was used to determine the position of the coastline in 2013 and 2023. The shoreline movement (Net Shoreline Movement) and the shoreline change rate (End Point Rate) were analyzed using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System installed on ArcMap software. The results of this study indicate that there has been abrasion and accretion where there are several very significant locations. The maximum distance of the shoreline movements due to abrasion and accretion occurred in the Supiori Selatan District as far as -67.15 and 92.86 m, respectively. The average shoreline movement caused by abrasion ranges from -11.37 to -13.59 m and from 9.75 to 15.64 m in the case of accretion. From the comparison of abrasion and accretion, only the Kepulauan Aruri District has a positive value (dominant accretion), while the other four districts have a negative value (dominant abrasion). The shoreline changes rates in the study area caused by abrasion and accretion ranged from -1.22 to -1.46 m/yr and 1.05 to 1.68 m/yr, respectively. Abrasion and accretion in the study area are predominantly caused by natural factors such as waves, currents, and river flows, as well as caused by non-natural factors mainly due to human activities. Information on shoreline changes in the study area is an important aid for stakeholders involved in coastal area management. Therefore, planning, strategies, and mitigation efforts are urgently needed to anticipate increased coastal erosion and possible negative impacts.
EN
The studied shoreline extends 73 kilometers, starting from the Kuwait-Saudi Arabia borders northward. This work represents a limited work that analyses the historical shoreline positions. Five-dates satellite images along a period of 35 years between 1986 and 2021 were used to calculate the historical shoreline change rates and predict future shoreline positions in 2030 and 2050. First, the historical shoreline was extracted using the Normalized Difference Wader index (WI 2015). Then, the shoreline change rates were quantified statistically using the End Point Rate (EPR) and the Linear Regression Rate (LRR) models of the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) tool in ArcMap. It has been found that the maximum erosion rate is –9.73 m/year, and the highest accretion is 10.88 m/year. Also, the positions of shorelines in the year 2030 and 2050 were predicted and defined on the map, with mapping of gain and loss surfaces. The results defined the most stable areas for future development and the areas needing urgent protection. It has been found that the resulting model can be affected by the topographical changes of the beaches due to human activities, where the coast alongside the Al-Khiran project will be eroded and accreted less than predicted because of the presence of protection facilities.
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