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The impact of exchange rate on fisheries production: international evidence from selected countries

Tepe Resul, Kayiran Burhan, Açik Abdullah

Zeszyty Naukowe Akademii Morskiej w Szczecinie

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2020

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nr 63 (135)

87--96

EN

One of the most important factors affecting international trade is exchange rate fluctuations. To date, studies that have analyzed the effect of exchange rates have shown that the effect can vary from sector to sector and from country to country. The fact that this relationship has not been extensively studied in the fisheries industry is the motivation for this study. In this regard, the aim of this study is to determine whether changes in the real exchange rates of countries affect their fisheries production levels. Accordingly, we used the causality test developed by Emirmahmutoglu and Kose (2011), which takes into account both cross-sectional dependencies and heterogeneity. The data set used in this study consisted of 27 annual observations from 38 countries from 1990–2016. The results revealed that changes in the real exchange rate affected fisheries production. This situation shows that changes in exchange rates may affect the international demand for fisheries and serve as a source of motivation for producers.

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Modelling of agricultural commodity price effects on the fiscal performance and economic growth in Ukraine

Shevchuk Victor, Kopych Roman

Information Systems in Management

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2019

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Vol. 8, No. 1

47--56

EN

This paper analyses the effects of agricultural raw materials prices upon fiscal policy indicators and gross domestic product (GDP) output in Ukraine, on the basis of the VAR/VEC model using quarterly data for the period of 2002–2018. The results indicate a positive effect of agricultural commodity prices on GDP, with both government expenditure and revenue declining in the wake of favorable commodity price developments. As expected, higher agricultural commodity prices are associated with a real exchange rate (RER) appreciation, which in turn brings about an increase in government expenditure and revenue combined with an expansionary effect on GDP. Furthermore, agricultural commodity price and RER shocks are characterized by asymmetrical effects upon output. Among other results, there are positive output effects by both government expenditures and revenues, while the reverse causality suggests a decrease in fiscal variables following an increase in GDP. Several implications for stabilization policies are discussed.

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Modelling of fiscal policy effects on agriculture and industry in Ukraine

Shevchuk V., Kopych R.

Information Systems in Management

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2017

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Vol. 6, No. 2

131--142

EN

This paper analyses the effects of fiscal policies upon agriculture and industry in Ukraine, with the SVAR model using quarterly data for the 2001–2016 period. The results indicate a positive effect of the government spending on both agricultural production and industrial output, while an increase in the government revenue is of the same expansionary impact for the latter only. Among other results, there is a weak negative short-lived spillover from agriculture to industry, with no causality running on the reverse. As agricultural production in Ukraine is associated with a higher level of government spending in the short run, a direction of causality seems to be just the opposite for industrial output. Both agriculture and industry bring about higher budget revenues in the short run, but for the latter this effect is lagged and more persistent. Controlling for fiscal policy effects, the nominal (real) exchange rate depreciation seems to be expansionary for industrial output. For agriculture, a nominal exchange rate depreciation is restrictionary in the short run, with an expansionary effect in the long run (however, this result is not supported in specification with the real exchange rate). Several implications of fiscal policy effects are discussed.