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On the Safety of Suborbitalrocket Launches from the Polish Coast

Noga Tomasz, Matysek Krzysztof, Dziczkaniec Rafał, Cieśliński Dawid, Umiński Piotr, Dul Stanisław

Safety & Defense

2023

31--46

This paper presents a rocket flight safety analysis using methods from the internationally recognized standard RCC 321-20 with an emphasis on a suborbital launch from the Polish coast. Currently, several entities are launching (or planning to launch) suborbital rockets and land them in the Baltic sea – and such flights are expected to be performed using more and more capable rockets with increasing launch frequency. While the present approach in Poland is to close a predefined air space, monitor or close the maritime zone to any traffic and ensure that the impact point dispersion of all rocket elements will fit within that restricted area, established and proven methods often take advantage of advanced calculations of flight risk to the public, aircraft and vessels. This paper demonstrates this approach and compares relative rocket or missile flight safety from Poland to other locations frequently used for such exercises. The results of this work may also be beneficial when planning safety measures for military exercises involving missiles.

Probabilistic analysis of spacecraft separation from the launch-vehicle

Kibzun A.I., Shluinsky Y.T., Kan Y.S., Miroshkin V.L.

Zeszyty Naukowe Politechniki Rzeszowskiej. Mechanika

1998

z. 51[168], t.2

493-500

The paper presents a methodology to analyse the probabilistic performance of separation process satelites and launch-vehicles (boosters). Models of spacecraftdynamics are considered with taking into account the liquid fluctuations in the fuel tanks. All the design uncertainties are modelled as random variables. The probabilistic characteristics of the critical separation parameters are estimated by the Monte Carlo method. The methodology allows to perform the statistical computer simulation of the separation and it is confirmed by the corespondence of the forecasted performances with data of real launches.