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Study of the Accuracy of Methane Concentration Forecasts in the Area of Longwall Outlet B-3 in Seam 407/1 in KWK “Borynia-Zofiówka” Ruch Zofiówka

Badura Henryk, Zmarzły Marian, Trzaskalik Paweł, Korshunov Aleksandr Ivanovich

New Trends in Production Engineering

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2020

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Vol. 3, Iss. 1

120--130

EN

In the presented publication, an ex post forecast of methane concentration at the airway outlet was carried out on the basis of equations previously developed and repeatedly tested by H. Badura and its errors were calculated. This forecast was considered as a reference level. Next, using the same forecast equations, the forecasting of methane concentration at the sensor location up to 10 m in front of the longwall face and at the longwall outlet was carried out, followed by the analysis of forecast errors. Since the measurement of methane concentrations in the locations under consideration differed, the results of forecasts also differed. Therefore, in order to assess the accuracy of forecasts, their absolute and relative errors were calculated and then compared with the forecast errors at the airway outlet. The analysis of errors showed that there are differences in forecast accuracy and it is advisable to develop new forecast equations mainly for the longwall outlet, but also for the location of methane concentration sensor installed in the airway up to 10 m in front of the longwall.

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One-Day Prognoses of Methane Concentrations for the 102 Longwall in the 325/1 Seam in the “W” Coal Mine Operating in a Continuous System

Grodzicka Aneta, Badura Henryk, Shaidurova Natalia, Sentyakov Kirill, Sviatskii Vladislav

New Trends in Production Engineering

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2020

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Vol. 3, Iss. 1

169--185

EN

The first part of the paper concerns the natural deposition conditions of the 325/1 seam in the “W” coal mine, in the 102 longwall mining panel. It also presents the most important technical conditions regarding the exploitation at this longwall. To characterize the methane hazard in the longwall area, the parameters of ventilation and total methane concentrations as well as the volumetric flowrate of methane captured by the methane removal system, have been presented graphically. A significant part of the methane flow in the longwall area was released to the air flowing to the longwall. The most significant part of the article is the presentation and analysis of the results of prognoses of mean methane concentrations at the exhaust of the longwall area. The accuracy of the prognoses of methane concentration was verified using two methods: while not considering the release of methane to the air flowing to the longwall and while considering the total flowrate of methane to the ventilation air in the area of the 102 longwall. The method of forecast presented in the article has so far been checked for a 5-day and 6-day work day, as well as for walls operating in a non-regular mode. The article refers to the wall operating in a continuous mode, which required adaptation of the proposed method to this mode. The application of the one-day forecast proposed in the article allows for undertaking temporary methane prevention measures enabling safe use of the wall.

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Jednodniowe prognozy średniego stężenia metanu na wylocie z rejonu wentylacyjnego jako podstawa do doboru środków profilaktyki metanowej – studium przypadku

Badura H., Niewiadomski A.

Przegląd Górniczy

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2015

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T. 71, nr 12

41--48

PL

Artykuł realizowano na podstawie danych pomiarowych stężenia metanu na wylocie z rejonu wentylacyjnego ściany C-5 w pokładzie 401/1 w KWK „Pniówek”. Dla 152 dni obliczono wartości średnie stężenia metanu i zbadano właściwości szeregu czasowego średniego stężenia metanu. Dla tych samych dni przeprowadzono prognozy jednodniowe stężenia metanu dwoma metodami. Jedna z metod opiera się na autokorelacji stężenia metanu w dniu analizowanym i poprzednim, a druga uwzględnia dodatkowo wpływ wydobycia na stężenie metanu. Wykazano, że błędy prognoz są małe, a prognozy nadają się do doboru środków doraźnej profilaktyki metanowej.

EN

This paper was prepared on the basis of measurement data of concentration of methane at the outlet to the ventilation region of C-5 longwall in the seam no. 401/1 in "Pniówek" coal mine. The average values of methane concentration were calculated for 152 days and the properties of time series of the average methane concentration tested. Simultaneously, for those days, one-day prognoses of methane concentration were elaborated by use of two methods. The first one is based on the autocorrelation of methane concentration in the currently analyzed day and the preceding one. Alternatively, the second method takes also into account the influence of mining on the methane concentration. It has been proved that devations of the prognoses are insignificant and they are suitable to the selection of preventive measures for methane.