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Creating trade plans of strategy development with foresight methodology

Markusik S., Cieśla M.

Logistics and Transport

2012

Vol. 14, No. 1

17-24

Because structural innovation projects are burdened with high risk, there is a need for prior planning for rational investment decisions making, which can ensure the sustainable development of the industry. Finding the most probable development vision is one of the reasons why more and more successful and appreciable are studies connected with prediction of the future (known as: future studies), among which a method of foresight is also classified. The paper presents the problems associated with strategic planning based on foresight methodology, applied to searching for rational visions and scenarios for the development of transport systems.

Some remarks on the method of cross-influence of events

Dorosiewicz S.

Logistics and Transport

2011

Vol. 13, No. 2

93-98

The sufficient condition of existence and uniqueness of forecasts made by the method of cross-influence of events is formulated and proved. This result is ilustrated by the forecasts of the volume of road transport in Poland up to the year 2025.