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EN
The paper is concerned with an application of the critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards model to identification and prediction of this process for the port oil piping transportation system. There are distinguished three processes for the considered piping operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the piping operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the piping processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the piping processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the piping processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the piping operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating area.
EN
The paper is concerned with an application of the model of critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards to identification and prediction of this process for the maritime ferry. There are investigated four processes for the considered maritime ferry operating area. Further, using identified parameters of the operation process including operating environment threats and the climate-weather change processes for the maritime ferry operating area, there are determined the unknown parameters of these processes. Namely, the probabilities of the ferry processes staying at the initial states, the probabilities of the ferry processes transitions between the states and the mean values of the ferry processes conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the maritime ferry operation process including operating environment threats and extreme weather hazards at the distinguished operating areas.
EN
In the paper, the traditional semi-Markov approach to a complex technical system operation process modeling is proposed to modelling a critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats. Next the model is applied to real critical infrastructures such as the port oil piping transportation system and the maritime ferry technical system.
EN
In the article the traditional semi-Markov approach to a complex technical system operation process modeling is developed to modelling a critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats. The method of defining the parameters of this operation process is presented and a new procedure of their determining in the case when the critical infrastructure operating threats are not explicit sepatated in this process is proposed.
EN
In the paper, the traditional semi-Markov approach to a complex technical system operation process modeling is proposed to model and to identify the port oil piping transportation system operation process including operating environment threats.
EN
In the paper, the traditional semi-Markov approach to a complex technical system operation process modeling is proposed to modelling a critical infrastructure operation process including operating environment threats. Next the model is applied to real critical infrastructures such as the maritime ferry technical system.
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