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2 Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2 2018

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Optimization of Operation and Safety of Global Baltic Network of Critical Infrastructure Networks (GBNCIN) with Considering Climate-Weather Change Process (C-WCP) influence – Maximizing GBNCIN Lifetime in the Set of Safety States not worse than a Critical Safety State

Dziula P., Kołowrocki K.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2018

Vol. 9, No. 1

17--26

The paper presents a method of the GBNCIN operation and safety, with considering the climate-weather change process, safety optimization. Basic characteristics of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change process are shown. Then, optimal transient probabilities of the GBNCIN Operation Process at Operation States Related to Climate-Weather Change Process, and the GBNCIN optimal safety and resilience indicators, are introduced. By defining unconditional multistate safety function of the GBNCIN, and corresponding optimal risk function, the optimal coefficients of the operation process related to the climateweather change impact on the GBNCIN intensities of degradation, have been determined. Finally, optimal sojourn times of the GBNCIN operation process at operation states, related to climate-weather change process and operation strategy, are presented.

Dziula P., Kołowrocki K.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2018

Vol. 9, No. 1

53--60

The paper presents a method of the GBNCIN operation and safety, with considering the climate-weather change process, safety optimization. Basic characteristics of the critical infrastructure operation process related to climateweather change process are shown. Then, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change is introduced. Furthermore, by analysis of the operation cost of the GBNCIN impacted by the operation process, related to the climate-weather change process, and its conditional safety functions, mean values of the total sojourn times at particular operation states during certain sufficiently large GBNCIN operation time are fixed. Finally, the GBNCIN operation cost related to climate-weather change minimization, and cost analysis of the GBNCIN operation impacted by climate-weather change, are presented.