This paper describes certain aspects of the F region storm morphology based on vertical incidence measurements at single ionosonde station Chilton (51°.60′N, 358°.70′E). The topics discussed include requirements for better understanding of the ionospheric F region morphology and its forecasting under geomagnetically quiet and disturbed conditions. A few common storms during the years of low (1996 and 1997) and high (2000 and 2001) solar activity are considered as well as the Short-Term Ionospheric Forecasting (STIF) method by using two representative examples. The merits are stressed of near-real-time use of data to provide more accurate specification of the geomagnetically disturbed ionosphere and forecast its structure few hours in advance.
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Global ionosphere maps are generated on a daily basis at CODE using data from about 200 GPS/GLONASS sites of the IGS and other institutions. The vertical total electron content is modeled in a solargeomagnetic reference frame using a spherical harmonics expansion up to degree and order 15. The spherical Slepian basis is a set of bandlimited functions which have the majority of their energy concentrated by optimization inside an arbitrarily defined region, yet remain orthogonal within the spatial region of interest. Hence, they are suitable for decomposing the spherical harmonic models into the portions that have significant strength only in the selected areas. In this study, the converted spherical harmonics to the Slepian bases were updated by the terrestrial GPS observations by use of the least-squares estimation with weighted parameters for local ionospheric modeling. Validations show that the approach adopted in this study is highly capable of yielding reliable results.
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