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2 Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2 2017

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Ship Accidents of Last 30 Years at Maritime Ferry Baltic Sea Operating Area

Bogalecka M., Jakusik E., Kołowrocki K.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2017

Vol. 8, No. 4

147--154

The paper deals with the sea accidents that have occurred at the domain of a passenger Ro-Ro ship operating at the Baltic Sea between Gdynia and Karlskrona ports during last three decades. The accidents are grouped into two sets, that happened at the open waters and those at the port waters. Next, for each accident, the climateweather change process conditions are identified to examine the weather hazards influence on the considered accidents.

Identification and prediction of climate-weather change process for maritime ferry operating area

Kuligowska E.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2017

Vol. 8, No. 2

129--134

The paper is concerned with an application of the climate-weather change process for a critical infrastructure operating area model to identification and prediction of this process for maritime ferry operating area. For the considered ferry operating area, there are distinguished four different climate-weather change processes and their states. Further, there are identified the unknown parameters of those processes, i.e. the probabilities of the climate-weather change processes staying at the initial climate-weather states, the probabilities of the climateweather change transitions between the climate-weather states and the mean values of the climate-weather change processes' conditional sojourn times at particular states. Finally, there are predicted the main characteristics of the climate-weather change processes at the distinguished operating area.