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New macroseismic intensity predictive models for Turkey

Bayrak Erdem, Nas Murat, Bayrak Yusuf

Acta Geophysica

2019

Vol. 67, no. 6

1483--1513

In this study, we propose new attenuation relations for use in possible future macroseismicity-based analyses for Turkey. The most significant difference of the new relationships is that they are specifically designed for use in the full extent of Turkey. Besides, this paper supplies an extensive macroseismic database larger than ever collected for Turkey. To this end, a modifiable MATLAB program, which is fully presented in the electronic supplement to this paper, was written to analyze the collected isoseismal maps that were first geo-rectified and then gridded by dividing them into 0.02° arrays. The epicentral distances belonging to each point intersected with the pertinent isoseism were compiled in an event-based log. Then, all subsets were merged into a single dataset, which is presented in the electronic supplement. Required strong ground motion parameters were taken from an improved earthquake catalog recently given by Kadirioğlu et al. (B Earthq Eng 1:2, 2016). For modeling the relations, the early relations were mostly selected as patterns for our candidate attenuation models. Of all candidate models, the statistically significant ones were individually tested whether or not they were able to detect the best fitting model to our database. The predicted error margins of the proposed models were compared to those of early models using data-driven statistical tests. In conclusion, considering the usability limits, the estimation capabilities of proposed relationships were found to be useful to some extent than those of the early models developed for Turkey.

Earthquake hazard maps for the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia

Schenk V., Schenkova Z., Kottnauer P., Guterch B., Labak P.

Acta Geophysica Polonica

2001

Vol. 49, nr 3

287-302

This paper describes cross-border earthquake hazard maps calculated in terms of macroseismic intensities and peak ground accelerations (PGA) for the Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia (CZ-PL-SK). The study has been done in the framework of the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP). The new earthquake parametric catalogue for CZ-PL-SK was used. The catalogue represents an updated, revised and comprehensive seismicity database without boundary problems. Earthquake data have been normalized to obtain a reliable annual recurrence graph for each seismic region and the maximum expected earthquakes have been estimated. Calculated attenuation laws allowed more advanced earthquake hazard maps to be defined. Using Cornell's standard probabilistic method, the hazard maps were calculated for the return periods 475, 1000, and 5000 years. For the period of 475 years, good coincidences were found when comparing this newely calculated intensity map with that of Grunthal for Germany (D) and Austria (A); and the PGA map with the effective ground acceleration map for Austria by Lenhardt.