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Improving Crop Yield Predictions in Morocco Using Machine Learning Algorithms

Ed-Daoudi Rachid, Alaoui Altaf, Ettaki Badia, Zerouaoui Jamal

Journal of Ecological Engineering

2023

Vol. 24, nr 6

392--400

In Morocco, agriculture is an important sector that contributes to the country’s economy and food security. Accurately predicting crop yields is crucial for farmers, policy makers, and other stakeholders to make informed decisions regarding resource allocation and food security. This paper investigates the potential of Machine Learning algorithms for improving the accuracy of crop yield predictions in Morocco. The study examines various factors that affect crop yields, including weather patterns, soil moisture levels, and rainfall, and how these factors can be incorporated into Machine Learning models. The performance of different algorithms, including Decision Trees, Random Forests, and Neural Networks, is evaluated and compared to traditional statistical models used for crop prediction. The study demonstrated that the Machine Learning algorithms outperformed the Statistical models in predicting crop yields. Specifically, the Machine Learning algorithms achieved mean squared error values between 0.10 and 0.23 and coefficient of determination values ranging from 0.78 to 0.90, while the Statistical models had mean squared error values ranging from 0.16 to 0.24 and coefficient of determination values ranging from 0.76 to 0.84. The Feed Forward Artificial Neural Network algorithm had the lowest mean squared error value (0.10) and the highest R² value (0.90), indicating that it performed the best among the three Machine Learning algorithms. These results suggest that Machine Learning algorithms can significantly improve the accuracy of crop yield predictions in Morocco, potentially leading to improved food security and optimized resource allocation for farmers.

The Effect of Dual Hyperparameter Optimization on Software Vulnerability Prediction Models

Bassi Deepali, Singh Hardeep

e-Informatica Software Engineering Journal

2023

Vol. 17, nr 1

art. no. 230102

Background: Prediction of software vulnerabilities is a major concern in the field of software security. Many researchers have worked to construct various software vulnerability prediction (SVP) models. The emerging machine learning domain aids in building effective SVP models. The employment of data balancing/resampling techniques and optimal hyperparameters can upgrade their performance. Previous research studies have shown the impact of hyperparameter optimization (HPO) on machine learning algorithms and data balancing techniques. Aim: The current study aims to analyze the impact of dual hyperparameter optimization on metrics-based SVP models. Method: This paper has proposed the methodology using the python framework Optuna that optimizes the hyperparameters for both machine learners and data balancing techniques. For the experimentation purpose, we have compared six combinations of five machine learners and five resampling techniques considering default parameters and optimized hyperparameters. Results: Additionally, the Wilcoxon signed-rank test with the Bonferroni correction method was implied, and observed that dual HPO performs better than HPO on learners and HPO on data balancers. Furthermore, the paper has assessed the impact of data complexity measures and concludes that HPO does not improve the performance of those datasets that exhibit high overlap. Conclusion: The experimental analysis unveils that dual HPO is 64% effective in enhancing the productivity of SVP models.