The article describes the rules for planning a ship's navigation in the event of loss of propulsion. A disabled ship drifting freely at sea is a potential danger to the crew and the marine environment. Lack of propulsion means that the ship cannot give way to other ships/keep out of the way of another vessel. One of the main elements of danger for a drifting ship is the possibility of grounding in restricted areas. The aim of the article is to draw the attention of navigators to the dangers to navigation resulting from ships drifting without their own propulsion, disabled ships.
The event of the loss of propulsion function has been defined as hazardous event to a seagoing ship. It has been formalized. The procedure of acquisition of expert opinions on frequency of the event occurrence has been described. It may be considered to be of a numerical-fuzzy character. The fuzzy part was transferred to the numerical form by the pair comparison method. An example of the ship propulsion system comprising a low speed internal combustion engine and a fix pitch propeller illustrates the method presented. It may be used wherever a hazard analysis has to be performed of a system involving human and technical aspects and there is a shortage of objective data on the investigated object.
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