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The international balance of power in the year 2050 (security implications)

Kłos Piotr, Kobryński Robert

Security and Defence Quarterly

2014

Vol. 3, No. 2

29--45

The project aims at applying qualitative and quantitative methods to create a model of the international balance of power in 2050. This allows to create more accurate forecasts of future security environment development and its implications. For the purpose, the authors use a computational model developed by Professor Mirosław Sulek, the Polish pioneer of powermetrics research. Fundamentals of the interdisciplinary model can be found in international relations theories, security studies methods, cybernetics and physics. The authors are directly involved in developing this field of research and their intention is to share initial results of their work.