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On the prognosis of failure coincidences in multi-system scenarios

Rakowsky U. K.

Journal of Polish Safety and Reliability Association

2010

Vol. 1, No. 1

203--214

The objective of the approach is to calculate the probability of failure coincidences or maintenance conflicts, respectively, in an n-system-single-maintenance-unit scenario. Beside the operation of conventional systems, reliability-adaptive systems can be considered as well in this scenario. The approach applies multiple integrals over probability density functions, which are arranged Matryoshka-like. The contribution discusses permutations of coincidence patterns explicitly and general coincidence probabilities. So-called staple graph and staple graph coincidence permutation diagrams are introduced as graphical representations.