An integrated general model of critical infrastructure accident consequences including the process of initiating events, the process of environment threats and the process of environment degradation models is presented. The model is proposed to the evaluation of losses associated with the environment degradation caused by the critical infrastructure accident.
An integrated general model of critical infrastructure accident consequences including the process of initiating events, the process of environment threats and the process of environment degradation models related to the climate-weather change process in its operating area is presented. The model is proposed to the evaluation of losses associated with the environment degradation caused by the critical infrastructure accident and to investigate the climate-weather influence on these lossess.
In the paper, the process of initiating events at the Baltic Sea area identification is performed. Next, the main characteristics of this process are predicted.
In the paper the probabilistic general model of critical infrastructure accident consequences (GMCIAC) including the process of initiating events, the process of environment threats and the process of environment degradation models is proposed. Next, the methods of its parameters statistical identification are presented. Futher, the marine traffic across the world and sea accidents were observed. Their initiating events and environment threats coming from released chemical substances as well as environment degradations in the neighbourhood region of sea accident were analysed. Then, the process of initiating events, the process of environment threats and the process of environment degradation were analysed and their states are distinguised.
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