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Forecasting analytic model of construction energy cluster development in Ukraine

Tkachenko Volodymyr, Tkachenko Iryna, Klymchuk Maryna

Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska

2019

z. 140

377--389

The article proposes a scientific and methodological approach to solve the problems of the construction energy cluster forecasting development, which provides an opportunity to unite the known technology of constructing time series models with the technology of simultaneous systems equations. It was developed the quantification process of the forecasting economic and mathematical formation model of energy cluster development, which will allow to detail the stages of mathematical modeling in the context of the studied problems, taking into account the specificity of production and commercial activity of all integration formation participants. The conditions for carrying out forecasting and analytical procedures of construction energy cluster development have been identified, in particular by the specificity and type of cause and effect and dynamic relationships between the main economic indicators, the intensity factors development trends, the dynamics of regular factors, described by linear and nonlinear ones.