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1 ECONTECHMOD : An International Quarterly Journal on Economics of Technology and Modelling Processes
1 Scientific Papers of Silesian University of Technology. Organization and Management Series
1 Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska

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The impact of external debt on Poland’s economic growth

Bilewicz Ewa

Zeszyty Naukowe. Organizacja i Zarządzanie / Politechnika Śląska

2022

z. 160

83--93

Purpose: The primary purpose of this paper is to examine the relationship between external debt and economic growth in Poland for the period 2004-2021. Design/Methodology/Approach: The study uses quarterly, secondary data spanning from 2004 to 2021. The data gathered in the research were analysed using the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression and backward stepwise regression model. Findings: The empirical results of research show that relationship between changes in ratio of external debt stock to GDP and economic growth is positive but not significant in period 20042021. This suggest that foreign borrowing minimally contributes to economic expansion of Poland. Furthermore, the results for the control variables indicate that trade openness and investment have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, whereas financial development and inflation negative. Practical Implications: Understanding variables that influence countries' economic growth is essential for designing appropriate economic policies, including debt management strategy. The research results can be used to formulate debt management strategy, which helps to minimalize risk connected with foreign borrowing. Poland should decrease dependence on external debt and increase reliance on domestic savings and other non-debt creating inflows. In addition, the results of study provide a reasonable basis for further research on the influence of the foreign debt’ composition on economic expansion of the country. Originality/Value: The nexus external debt-economic growth is widely debated by researchers, however until now, little research has been done about this relationship in Poland.

Nonlinear regression model of the formation of the loan portfolios of the banks in Central and Eastern Europe

Alieksieiev I., Belyayeva O., Yastrubskyy M.

ECONTECHMOD : An International Quarterly Journal on Economics of Technology and Modelling Processes

2013

Vol. 2, No 3

9-15

The article examines the impact of significant factors and adaptation of the experience of CEE countries to the current conditions of the banking business development in Ukraine in order to strengthen the competitiveness of domestic banks in the conditions of European financial integration. In order to identify the main sources of risks a regression analysis of formation of the loan portfolio volumes of the banks in CEE has been made.